The 200 day moving average

A very simplistic observation (I concede), but I notice that we are heading closer to the 200 day moving average. It is often said that bears live below the 200 day moving average and bulls live above it. This is the closest we have been to breaking the 200 day moving average for more than 1 year.
 
Breaking the 200 day avg is no easy task. Take a look at the Nasdaq when it shimmied up and down the avg last summer only to settle below it later on. Also look at the SOX as it first approached the 200 avg from below a few months ago.

Usually several attempts and a range nearby are the prerequisites to breaking above. A first attempt and piercing are quite rare.
 
Originally posted by candletrader
Thank you Dottom. There is some VERY neat analysis in your chart :)

I can't take credit for that chart, it's from a guy named Michel and that's his website. He runs a Yahoo group <A HREF="http://groups.yahoo.com/group/enthios">enthios</A>.

I also thought it was very neat.
 
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