Maybe some but I’d certainly sell a good bit at that point. Thats far away
My point is that my DCA to current mark would equate to 3.8MM from your entry.
Maybe some but I’d certainly sell a good bit at that point. Thats far away
How many treasuries?
How many people are handling the buying and selling of the out of the only ~100 people they have?
Maximum size for a treasury is $5mil if not part of the competitive bid process. Even if they participate in the auctions, there's a cap of 35% of the offering.
Given the claimed holdings, they're going to have to participate in many auctions or buy 20,000 non auction bonds all over the market.
You think a couple guys can keep track of that much activity?
How much work do you think it would be to properly come up with bid price for thousands of different bonds? Transfer cash to and from the many dealers they would use for that much volume? Keep track of expirations and reinvest?
Hell if you had the ~100 people working for tether doing nothing but bonds, you could break it up and they'd each only be in charge of A BILLION DOLLARS EACH!
If someone tells me they've got 20 tons of gold in the trunk of their Chevy Nova, I don't need them to pop the trunk for me to know it doesn't make sense.
We've talked about this before and there are similar issues with other claimed holdings like corporate debt.
The AUM to employee ratio here is a giant red flag.
Apparently Cantor Fitzgerald does manage their treasuries, which kind of gives Tether the benefit of a doubt.
But then again... How stupid do you have to be, to trust a banker? The only dumber thing than trusting a banker would be to trust a politician.
But EVEN IF their claimed assets are legit, they are likely already insolvent. I don't understand the nuances, but this guy who seems to be knowledgeable in the field claims so; twitter.com
I don't believe they have the claimed assets though. There is just too much proof that they have printed unbacked Tethers in the past.
they surely have some reserves, but how much? My guess would be it's less than 50% of the Tethers issues.
They always claim "we have always managed to redeem Tethers for USD"... WHICH IS THE EXACT SAME CLAIM EVERY PONZI SCHEME MAKES!!!
You don't need to prove it's fake you just need to see that it's shady and realize there are other things in this word to invest in.
.........
My beef is this mental gymnastics that goes something like this..
Tether is shady --> its a fraud (with no evidence) --> that means bitcoin is a fraud and will crash.
this line of thinking is just dumb at this point.
As far as Cantor, I am sure CEO did not lie in Davos. It is a known fact that Bitfinex do have around 5% of real money. Cantor is probably a custodian for 5-7 billion of treasuries. No argument here.
If you live in the US (like me) there is no need to use tether. Just use USDC for your stablecoin needs.
The math isn't mathing. At least adjust your numbers
Two years ago 20 Billion usdt was redeemed for usd in a week's time, half came from SBF and Circle scheme
Did you not watch the video of primary dealer Cantor Fitzgerald ceo explaining this?
Tether only needs 1 employee to tell primary dealer Cantor Fitzgerald to buy $114B of US Treasuries and sell billions of US Treasuries when needed
Apparently Cantor Fitzgerald does manage their treasuries, which kind of gives Tether the benefit of a doubt.
let’s be real, though this is just vibes and completely evidence free. As you said, Canter has admitted that they hold the treasuries for tether. It would be weird to lie about that if your canter, what would be to gain from lying about holding treasuries if they don’t really exist?. If you just take the treasuries and assume everything else on their balance sheet is fake that alone almost covers the liabilities.