Trading an actual PB AND an implied PB back to back within a trading range MES 5 min chart 12-22-2020:
By bar 9:55 we have been in a sideways move for 18 bars since the open. Bulls and bears are about even. Up then down. I like to see 20 bars to trade it as a range however, sometimes I will fudge a little. This is discretionary trading you know.. ROFL.
So, anyway I decided to trade this as a range. Up to this point it certainly is range behavior. In a range I want the height of the range to be at least 3 times the size of a minimum scalp, which is 1 point in MES or ES. This range is around 10 or 11 points broad so it meets that. Next it needs to be preferably at least 3 times as broad as the average size bar. Just a visual glance on this will suffice. I roughly figure the average size bar as 4 points. So 3X =12 points. Range is around 11 points broad. That is close enough to make money scalping 1 to 8 points.
Bar 9:55 is an actual PB so I short on bar 10:00 and grab a 1 point scalp, just to start the day as my carcass got out of bed late and was not awake real good yet, as got to drink my morning coffee. But it is good to start off with a winner. So this was a 1 point scalp on an actual PB. Now notice bar 10:00 went on down after my exit. So, look to the left and see bar 9:40 at the top of the range. From that bar until the close of bar 10:00 we have basically a two - legged bear move. Down first leg then actual PB (which I traded) then down some more on bar 10:00 (second leg down). So down..PB..down some more.
So, we can say got a bearish move from top to bottom of the range in the form of a two-legged move. Now look at the close of bar 10:00 by the time it closed it was a bear doji with a big tail on the bottom. That simply means that two legged move down was now in a PB on a smaller TF. An implied PB. So what do I do? I short the close of the doji on the next bar 10:05 expecting that since this is an implied PB on a smaller TF AND the larger context is a range that we will see enough subsequent down movement at some point for a scalp. From the point of my initial entry on bar 10:05 up to the top of the range is my averaging down area. So I add more short on the same bar as it moves against me. Then I add more on bar 10:15. By this latter bar we are near the top of the range. So I wait for it to break south. I exit and cover the entire position on bar 10:25 making a profit on all contracts.
This is an example of trading and actual PB and an implied PB on a 5 min chart in ranging behavior.
By bar 9:55 we have been in a sideways move for 18 bars since the open. Bulls and bears are about even. Up then down. I like to see 20 bars to trade it as a range however, sometimes I will fudge a little. This is discretionary trading you know.. ROFL.
So, anyway I decided to trade this as a range. Up to this point it certainly is range behavior. In a range I want the height of the range to be at least 3 times the size of a minimum scalp, which is 1 point in MES or ES. This range is around 10 or 11 points broad so it meets that. Next it needs to be preferably at least 3 times as broad as the average size bar. Just a visual glance on this will suffice. I roughly figure the average size bar as 4 points. So 3X =12 points. Range is around 11 points broad. That is close enough to make money scalping 1 to 8 points.
Bar 9:55 is an actual PB so I short on bar 10:00 and grab a 1 point scalp, just to start the day as my carcass got out of bed late and was not awake real good yet, as got to drink my morning coffee. But it is good to start off with a winner. So this was a 1 point scalp on an actual PB. Now notice bar 10:00 went on down after my exit. So, look to the left and see bar 9:40 at the top of the range. From that bar until the close of bar 10:00 we have basically a two - legged bear move. Down first leg then actual PB (which I traded) then down some more on bar 10:00 (second leg down). So down..PB..down some more.
So, we can say got a bearish move from top to bottom of the range in the form of a two-legged move. Now look at the close of bar 10:00 by the time it closed it was a bear doji with a big tail on the bottom. That simply means that two legged move down was now in a PB on a smaller TF. An implied PB. So what do I do? I short the close of the doji on the next bar 10:05 expecting that since this is an implied PB on a smaller TF AND the larger context is a range that we will see enough subsequent down movement at some point for a scalp. From the point of my initial entry on bar 10:05 up to the top of the range is my averaging down area. So I add more short on the same bar as it moves against me. Then I add more on bar 10:15. By this latter bar we are near the top of the range. So I wait for it to break south. I exit and cover the entire position on bar 10:25 making a profit on all contracts.
This is an example of trading and actual PB and an implied PB on a 5 min chart in ranging behavior.
Last edited:
