Technicians with holes in their shoes and frayed shirt collars

Quote from circadian:

Random markets are a myth. EMH is a myth, and I'm glad it's still taught to finance students, as they'll eventually prove to be cannon fodder for those who know better. Malkiel pulled an Al Gore, and cashed in on bullshit idea that has been horrendously disproven.

SPY Equity KAOS Go : An ongoing bitchslap to EMH theory, delivered in real-time...SLAP!!

Totally wrong and bordering on ignorance.

Show me the horrendous disproven--- since if you can, why can't you corner the market? ra ra ra
 
Quote from wrbtrader:

Bright traders use charts and so do many other prop firm traders, institutional traders et cetera. :p :D :eek:

However, I do agree with you that arbers do better than those that aren't arbers. Yet, the few arbers I know do use charts too regardless if the charts are important or not. Fact remain, they have charts up on their monitor screens.

could it just be screensavers? :D

Yep, I know the debate, just because someone uses charts doesn't imply there trade decisions is based upon what they see on their charts. If that's the case...get rid of the charts and never look at another one again (seriously). :cool:

Here's some facts I've seen here at ET...carefully review the post history of many of those here at ET that speaks out against TA and you'll see they've posted charts themselves to explain some of their trades or they've discussed in agreement with the chart analysis of another ET member or used linear charts of something they've downloaded or linked to that shows months or years of economic data as they use that info to explain the reasons behind their trade positions.

Why not just show the actual price data without the charts? :D

I said in another thread...recently I went to visit a friend at his trading office (institutional firm) and he had always stated he doesn't use TA. Yet, on his two bloomberg screens were charts of yields and treasury futures.

It's so confusing. :cool:

Mark

Truth is, TA is relegated to the marketing departments in institutions, not trading. they have cause the clients like it and to illusitrate points to the clients--- no other reason,

Actually its very simple--- charts are illusitrative not predictive.

they are used to illusitrate concepts not make predictions about the future.

traders only use charts to analyse not to make buy sell decisions.
 
If you look at a chart, any chart, and make a trading decision, you've used TA. Maybe it's not 'traditional' TA but analysis was used nonetheless. And it wasn't fundamental.

:cool:
 
Quote from greencapital:

...charts are illusitrative not predictive.

they are used to illusitrate concepts not make predictions about the future.

traders only use charts to analyse not to make buy sell decisions.

Basically you're saying that "chart analysis" doesn't equate to "technical analysis". Thus, when someone saids they don't use TA but use charts for analysis or illustration purposes...you want me to believe that a chartist is not using the information to help with making trade decisions.

That's an interesting opinion you have and it's similar to what I've stated a few times recently...I've met a lot of TA bashers that use charts to monitor their trade positions or to give a visual representation of their trade decision.

Therefore, if a chartist believes their trade decisions has nothing to do with what they see on their charts. If that's true, they should be able to make the same trade decisions without looking at a single chart to convince someone they are not using TA. :cool:

In contrast, the thread starter (crgarcia) implies a chartist and TA person are the same via referencing the words of an author that believes the same.

Mark
 
Quote from greencapital:

Truth is, TA is relegated to the marketing departments in institutions, not trading. they have cause the clients like it and to illusitrate points to the clients--- no other reason,
Actually its very simple--- charts are illusitrative not predictive.
they are used to illusitrate concepts not make predictions about the future.
traders only use charts to analyse not to make buy sell decisions.

Cannon fodder was a perfect choice of terms.

I recently went to an economics conference with a friend and sat in the back of the room with my computer watching the markets. A gentleman from a rather prestigious university wondered by and was watching me for a few minutes and asked about my charts. I gave him a brief description of what I do and he laughed and basically told me exactly what you just said. I then bet him a cup of coffee that I could tell him exactly what oscillations would occur and at what approximate levels on my chart in advance. I would tell him in advance where price would go up then down then back up . . . in the future. Not the prices at those oscillations but where resistance and support would take place on my chart. He took the bet and came by at 2 pm Arizona time as the market was closing. He looked at my charts and what price had done and where the oscillations had been created.

Needless to say I enjoyed a wonderful triple venti vanilla skinny latte and an hour of grilling conversation from an interesting and bewildered Ivy league professor.
Seeing is believing.
The right chart environment can be predictive if constructed correctly.
A closed mind is a terrible thing to waste.

I know . . . I'm crazy, there is no way on earth it is possible and you wouldn't waste your precious time validating such a ridiculous notion . . .

Cannon fodder . . . I love that.
 
Quote from jem:

I would suggest that you all try talking to fund managers at hedge funds.

Ask them how they support stock going into the end of the reporting quarter and what techiniques they use. Ask them how they gun the leaders to make their numbers look even better.
Ask them if they support stock at sell offs and where they buyer more.
MOST hedge funds lose money.
Usually all the small funds, managing about $5-$10M blowup in less than 5 years.

Quote from lukestockwalker:

Regardless of Burton, its very very true MOST TA practioners are dead broke. While arbers and tapereaders seem to be doing much better than the chart artists.

In adddition, why isnt TA taught much in prop trading courses like Bright? every think cause it does not work?

Facts speak for themselves
So true.
99%+ use TA
99%+ lose money

Too much correlation to be coincidence.
 
Quote from garyjohn:

Who is this person? I would like to send him an email for verification.
Some more "anecdotal" evidence from the good professor.
The TA world is full of anecdotal evidence, little more.
TA is EASY and people tend to be attracted to easy when it comes to making money or anything for that matter.
Once again, the professor will fail to produce any evidence what so ever of his "perfect TA" system working
Only small minds have a requirement for order such as what the Prof and TA cultist demand. Randomness is a much finer operative paradigm. "There is no geometric interpretation of a chart that will withstand scrutiny"
TA is HOG WASH, pure and simple.
leave it to the Gurus and their followers. If you want to succeed in trading , embrace chaos not geometric nonsense and chart art from failed traders.

Hey, nice to see you back again . . . and again . . . and again . . . and again . . . and again . . . and again . . . and again . . . Davey Boy.

As I stated . . . I'm crazy, there is no way on earth it is possible and you wouldn't waste your precious time validating such a ridiculous notion . . . unless you have a large chunk of money you would like to part with to validate it.

WOOhoo
 
Quote from garyjohn:

Only small minds have a requirement for order such as what the Prof and TA cultist demand.
Randomness is a much finer operative paradigm.
"There is no geometric interpretation of a chart that will withstand scrutiny"
TA is HOG WASH, pure and simple.
leave it to the Gurus and their followers.
If you want to succeed in trading , embrace chaos not geometric nonsense and chart art from failed traders no matter their rhetoric or anecdotal evidence.

As always this statement scared the $hit out of you:

"unless you have a large chunk of money you would like to part with to validate it."

If TA is HOG WASH it should be "easy pickins" to fleece me out of my money proving that my stuff is crap. But you always tuck your tail and run when confronted. You try to talk a good game but, as usual, you back it up with the your typical verbal diarrhea.
 
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