Now this is a rally! I bought this morning before the report and made $2.80/bbl. I was feeling pretty good about that trade until it went up to 104.56 :eek:. I'm can't complain, it was still a great day in oil. Nice comeback from yesterday.
To finish this of I will just say that this thread has lived its course, it achieved what it meant to. Did crude go to $100 when overwhelming majority of professional analysts said "No"? Yes it did.
Main point being is that it is OK to go against a trending oscillation as long as there is a valid reason for doing so.
Yeah, but the title of this thread is "Technical outlook on Crude". That is a very general topic. In regards to natty gas, the longest thread I saw was this one:
I see it too & IF it works then I see 92, but I look at multiday & weekly, they make me think that we could be entering different times where oil is very expensive, don't get me wrong I hate the idea of this happening.
I know we look at various indications when monitoring trends/turns etc, this is what I look at, basic as it is on so many occasions it stands out above so many other more complex analytical tools. If you notice the distance between 2 lines you will see that it is kept rather constant which indicates strength in this current bull trend. But histogram is lowering and putting in a divergence at the same time. I would only look for a major possibility of a retrace when histogram starts bending even more towards that centreline. When & if that happens the way I like it to look I would then switch on all my lower time frame charts anticipating a retrace taking all appropriate sell set-ups.