The attached chart shows the 3 month T Bill Discount Rate(IRX) vs stocks(SPX). The Disc rate falling as demand for T Bill is huge.
The previous two times (1998, 2001) there was a flight to safety of this magnitude stocks fell just as hard. But not in 2007, or NOT YET.
So either Tbill will reverse or stocks will ? What say yee !!
My bet is that stocks will join the 3 month T Bill trend, other evidence is the massive volume on the last two down trends of $SPX and the divergence on advance and decline shows that trend will be down, very soon ?
UPDATE: Previous thread
SP500 technical warning here:
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=111533
The previous two times (1998, 2001) there was a flight to safety of this magnitude stocks fell just as hard. But not in 2007, or NOT YET.
So either Tbill will reverse or stocks will ? What say yee !!
My bet is that stocks will join the 3 month T Bill trend, other evidence is the massive volume on the last two down trends of $SPX and the divergence on advance and decline shows that trend will be down, very soon ?
UPDATE: Previous thread
SP500 technical warning here:
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=111533