Taking 76K to 500K by Year End

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Quote from BeTheSparrow:

I am struggling to understand just what happened this week. This was my worst trading week of 2007 (-4,877.00) and I was red all 5 days. That has not happened to me in over 2 years. Every trade I entered just "felt" risky. While I followed my "system" I was either late... or too early on every trade it seems. Monday and Tuesday were very strange indeed and yesterday was just a nervous, chop day.

I am taking all next week off and will just watch the action and study my model. The previous 3 weeks were very good for me but something changed this week. I'm not sure if it was the market... or if was just me.

NEKE... You are an inspiration. Keep your head up, keep trading, and keep on learning. I intend to do the same.

Regards, Joe

Yea, I know what it feels when you don't seem to do anything right. The good times will come though.
 
Quote from ForexPro:

Hi Neke,

Can you tell me how you find your options candidates to short or go long on?

Forexpro

In general terms it is by looking at the stocks making stories in the market, and keeping them on my watchlist long enough.
 
Quote from BeTheSparrow:

I am struggling to understand just what happened this week. This was my worst trading week of 2007 (-4,877.00) and I was red all 5 days. That has not happened to me in over 2 years. Every trade I entered just "felt" risky. While I followed my "system" I was either late... or too early on every trade it seems. Monday and Tuesday were very strange indeed and yesterday was just a nervous, chop day.

I am taking all next week off and will just watch the action and study my model. The previous 3 weeks were very good for me but something changed this week. I'm not sure if it was the market... or if was just me.

NEKE... You are an inspiration. Keep your head up, keep trading, and keep on learning. I intend to do the same.

Regards, Joe


I dont think I would be too concerned about this week. This was a hellish week to trade. These damn levitations are great for investors but as a trader I just cant stand them. Hope the panic returns soon, though I doubt it will happen before the new year. These idiots and their positive seasonality and rate hopes will keep this house of cards afloat a bit longer.
 
12/07/2007
Weekly Update for week 41 ended 12/07/2007

This makes it four in a row. Lost 5K. No excuse for this week, other than lacking in confidence to take my normal trades and not holding long enough to reap the benefits: Result was 15 meagre winning trades and 5 losers, with the strength of the former wiping out the little gains and more. Once again found myself chasing trades (like the MBI trade given) after I had taken an initial look and turned away. If it was not a short at 28.4 when I turned away, why come back a few minutes later and short at 26! Lack of meaningful opportunities is making me not avoid the petty trades.

With two weeks to go (won't trade the last week of the year), the emphasis is just wrapping things up, avoiding major casualty, and preparing and solidifying the game plan for next year. I have classified my discretionary strategies and defined some "minimum objective criteria" for entries and exits. Will be developing two or three automated strategies in the coming weeks that will form my only tradeable automatic methods for next year.

Code:
Balance B/F:                   		175,511
Net Loss for the week 		         -5,288
Cash Withdrawal				-10,000
------------------------------------------------
Balance C/F:                   		160,223
Number of Trades	            	 20
Number of Profitable Trades    	    	 15

Since Inception of Thread   2/25/2007 - 12/07/2007

Balance B/F:                   		 76,636
Net Gain (Less Margin Interest)		164,587
Cash Withdrawal		       		-81,000
------------------------------------------------
Balance C/F:                   		160,223 (Adjusted balance before withdrawals is 241223, up 215% )
Number of Trades	           	 1094
Number of Profitable Trades        	 622

Expected Balance at this time to be on track for Year-End Target : 
			       439,990

Status:			       Behind Target		(Based on adjusted balance before withdrawals)

Top/Bottom Discretionary Trades for the week

TICKER	ENTRY DATE/TIME		EXIT DATE/TIME		QTY	PURCHASE AMT	SOLD AMT	GAINS/LOSS	TYPE

MVSN	2007-12-07-10-21-26	2007-12-07-13-41-59	5000	96450		101793		5321		SHORT
GPYXD	2007-12-04-09-43-25	2007-12-04-14-32-46	4000	38800		42400		3519		GOOG PUT
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ETFC	2007-12-03-08-11-35	2007-12-03-11-34-04	30000	121800		115513		-6329		SHORT
MBI	2007-12-05-15-00-48	2007-12-05-15-42-55	6000	166800		157500		-9332		SHORT
							

                                        (Before Interest and Other charges)
                                        TRANSACTIONS ANALYSIS FROM 2007-02-25 TO 2007-12-08

                             Current Week                                    |	Since Inception of Thread
                                                                             |                                           
                Method          Gains/Loss       No Of          Profitable   |  Gains/Loss       No Of       Profitable  
                                                Trades              Trades   |                  Trades           Trades  
Automated       AutoTrade1               0           0                   0   |        5652         208              116  
                AutoTrade2               0           0                   0   |        3372          12                8  
                AutoTrade3               0           0                   0   |       -4523           3                0  
                AutoTrade4               0           0                   0   |      -15301           3                0  
                                -----------     --------        ------------ |  -----------     ------       ------------
Total Automated                          0           0                   0   |      -10800         226              124  
                                -----------     --------        ------------ |  -----------     ------       ------------
Discretionary   Long                 -1046           5                   4   |      -75285         288              168  
                Short                -4056          12                   9   |       83335         313              184  
                Options(long)         -390           3                   2   |      167897         267              146  
                                -----------     --------        ------------ |  -----------     ------       ------------
Total Discretionary                  -5491          20                  15   |      175948         868              498  
                                ===========     ========        ============ |  ===========     ======       ============
Net Totals                           -5491          20                  15   |      165148        1094              622  
                                ===========     ========        ============ |  ===========     ======       ============
 

Attachments

Neke,
Can you keep this thread going next year? Also, you should pull a Timothy Sykes and write a book...my quest to turn $76,000 into $500,000 in one year!


Quote from neke:

12/07/2007
Weekly Update for week 41 ended 12/07/2007

This makes it four in a row. Lost 5K. No excuse for this week, other than lacking in confidence to take my normal trades and not holding long enough to reap the benefits: Result was 15 meagre winning trades and 5 losers, with the strength of the former wiping out the little gains and more. Once again found myself chasing trades (like the MBI trade given) after I had taken an initial look and turned away. If it was not a short at 28.4 when I turned away, why come back a few minutes later and short at 26! Lack of meaningful opportunities is making me not avoid the petty trades.

With two weeks to go (won't trade the last week of the year), the emphasis is just wrapping things up, avoiding major casualty, and preparing and solidifying the game plan for next year. I have classified my discretionary strategies and defined some "minimum objective criteria" for entries and exits. Will be developing two or three automated strategies in the coming weeks that will form my only tradeable automatic methods for next year.

Code:
Balance B/F:                   		175,511
Net Loss for the week 		         -5,288
Cash Withdrawal				-10,000
------------------------------------------------
Balance C/F:                   		160,223
Number of Trades	            	 20
Number of Profitable Trades    	    	 15

Since Inception of Thread   2/25/2007 - 12/07/2007

Balance B/F:                   		 76,636
Net Gain (Less Margin Interest)		164,587
Cash Withdrawal		       		-81,000
------------------------------------------------
Balance C/F:                   		160,223 (Adjusted balance before withdrawals is 241223, up 215% )
Number of Trades	           	 1094
Number of Profitable Trades        	 622

Expected Balance at this time to be on track for Year-End Target : 
			       439,990

Status:			       Behind Target		(Based on adjusted balance before withdrawals)

Top/Bottom Discretionary Trades for the week

TICKER	ENTRY DATE/TIME		EXIT DATE/TIME		QTY	PURCHASE AMT	SOLD AMT	GAINS/LOSS	TYPE

MVSN	2007-12-07-10-21-26	2007-12-07-13-41-59	5000	96450		101793		5321		SHORT
GPYXD	2007-12-04-09-43-25	2007-12-04-14-32-46	4000	38800		42400		3519		GOOG PUT
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ETFC	2007-12-03-08-11-35	2007-12-03-11-34-04	30000	121800		115513		-6329		SHORT
MBI	2007-12-05-15-00-48	2007-12-05-15-42-55	6000	166800		157500		-9332		SHORT
							

                                        (Before Interest and Other charges)
                                        TRANSACTIONS ANALYSIS FROM 2007-02-25 TO 2007-12-08

                             Current Week                                    |	Since Inception of Thread
                                                                             |                                           
                Method          Gains/Loss       No Of          Profitable   |  Gains/Loss       No Of       Profitable  
                                                Trades              Trades   |                  Trades           Trades  
Automated       AutoTrade1               0           0                   0   |        5652         208              116  
                AutoTrade2               0           0                   0   |        3372          12                8  
                AutoTrade3               0           0                   0   |       -4523           3                0  
                AutoTrade4               0           0                   0   |      -15301           3                0  
                                -----------     --------        ------------ |  -----------     ------       ------------
Total Automated                          0           0                   0   |      -10800         226              124  
                                -----------     --------        ------------ |  -----------     ------       ------------
Discretionary   Long                 -1046           5                   4   |      -75285         288              168  
                Short                -4056          12                   9   |       83335         313              184  
                Options(long)         -390           3                   2   |      167897         267              146  
                                -----------     --------        ------------ |  -----------     ------       ------------
Total Discretionary                  -5491          20                  15   |      175948         868              498  
                                ===========     ========        ============ |  ===========     ======       ============
Net Totals                           -5491          20                  15   |      165148        1094              622  
                                ===========     ========        ============ |  ===========     ======       ============
 
Damnit,

Interesting how you changed your mind. You seem to initially look down to each and everyone and suddenly you are one of Neke's most fervent defenders. (I myself have no opinion of his trading style whatsoever). Out of pure curiosity, what made you change your mind?



Quote from damnit:

He makes more trading than 99% of the posters on ET. This is the best thread ever and I hope it continues until he reaches the $10m mark. Thanks for being so open and honest with us Neke.
 
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