Quote from riskfreetrading:
Neke: I am disappointed. How could you lose this week and by that much? Maybe you do not know how to read the overall market or the end of a trend and emergence of new trends? In the
absence of an explanation, I would start to think that you have no edge.
There are ways and ways to trade the markets. Some profitable traders fade moves, some others go with the trend, yet others are direction-neutral, and of course some mix all of the above. It is naive to think all profitable traders see the same thing the same way at the same time. As for question about an "edge", that is better left to individual interpretation, but since I read somewhere you won a mathematical championship, I would pose this to you:
If you had $10,000 to start with, and staked 50% of your balance on the toss of a fair coin. Heads, you win as much as you staked; tails you lose your stake. (So if first toss is a win, you have $15,000 for the next play, and can stake 7,500). There is some chance that after 2 tosses you could be ahead. What is the probability of having more than $10,000 balance after 100 tosses? I pose this to you because you should easily be able to compute this from your background, and my own statistics tells me without an edge, leverage diminishes your chance of being ahead in the long-run and not the reverse.
Part of my drawdowns come from rule violations, and I seek to get better in avoiding those. Others are a natural part of my trading, and there is nothing to do than bear them. Drawdowns are inevitable part of my trading, and it would be silly to get worked up after every such. I have traded long enough to be able to put one week's result in the longer-term perspective.