Taking 320K to 3.5million by Year End 2009

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Quote from MandelbrotSet:

Great job neke.

Way to make a powerful comeback, and I see you have more qualiy posters to your thread than not.

That's a big +2! :D :D


quality posters to you = cheering section
 
Weekly Update for week 29/50 ended 08/01/2009

Moderately positive week. Up 5.6K (1.8%). Should have been a decent week, but gave back most of that on Friday.

The bias for the week was bullish in the market, making a number of purchases of SPY and SPY options for my discretionary trades. Unfortunately hit a bad patch on Friday. First lost 13K on ill-timed FSLR puts following their earnings; should have made some money holding till end of day. Lost another 6.6K trying to fade the move in WTFC - could easily have been worse if the stock did not retreat at the end of the day.

The week was salvaged by my automated trades: made 12.3K from 31 trades.

Looking forward to next week.


Code:
Opening Balance:               	    	306,347
Net gain for the week 		          5,554
------------------------------------------------
Net Balance:                   		311,901

Number of Trades	            	 46
Number of Profitable Trades    	    	 27


Since Inception of Thread   01/10/2009 - 08/01/2009

Opening Balance:                   	320,064
Net loss (Less Margin Interest)		 -8,163	(Down 2.6%)
------------------------------------------------
Net Balance				311,901

Number of Trades	           	743
Number of Profitable Trades        	459


TICKER	ENTRY DATE/TIME		EXIT DATE/TIME		QTY	PURCHASE AMT	SOLD AMT	GAIN/LOSS	TYPE

SWGHU	2009-07-30-09-55-54	2009-07-30-10-45-32	20000	46000		52400		6085		SPY CALL
BIDU	2009-07-27-09-43-08	2009-07-27-09-59-49	1000	363000		368000		4977		SHORT
SPY	2009-07-27-10-59-02	2009-07-27-14-45-16	3000	292350		294600		2228		LONG
---------------------------------------------------------------
SWGHU	2009-07-30-13-32-57	2009-07-30-14-20-47	20000	49800		46200		-3915		SPY CALL
WTFC	2009-07-31-10-10-53	2009-07-31-15-52-59	21963	574651		568206		-6572		SHORT
HJQTK	2009-07-31-09-32-57	2009-07-31-10-44-33	18200	143840		131040		-13104		FSLR PUT

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I'll state again. And this will be my last and final post on this topic and this journal.

Stick to / refine / then leverage your Automated trading systems.

Discretionary directional trading is a long-term losers game. The volatility is good to get the adrenaline rushing, but it's the quickest path to the poor house.

( Discretionary efficient trade execution based trading is a whole another subject )



http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=2437840#post2437840



05-23-09 02:52 AM


If you lack discipline, AUTOMATION is the holy grail.

The Chart is a classic EW formation down to 200K. Ouch. He's now inside the blow-up danger zone for discretionary traders. On every trade his brain will switch to Revenge trading mode. The solution is simply to step back take a vacation.

Oh, and he seems to break the cardinal rule. Never average down. It works well, but the one time it doesn't work is the one time needed to blow up.

Trade with the trend and average UP. Easier said than done for discretionary traders.
 
Quote from fkbsuhites:

Discretionary directional trading is a long-term losers game. The volatility is good to get the adrenaline rushing, but it's the quickest path to the poor house.

That part (discretionary trading being a losers game) is very wrong. It is true there are a lot of personal prejudices and dispositions that may impact performance, but the aim should be to minimize or eliminate them. One way to minimize the impact of psychology is to make the conditions for action as objective as possible. With all the recent set-backs I suffered, the discretionary element is still a huge part of my overall performance in the market. My recent emphasis on automating things is to reduce the pressure to look for home-runs in my discretionary trades: suddenly I discover that instead of being glued to one position and trying to make a profit/home-run of it, I can actually make several smaller gains in the automated area, while capitalizing on the big moment when it shows up (when I can commit bigger capital and hopefully make bigger gains). There is no way automation can totally replace my discretion.
 
That was a quick one on +AIGTY (In 3.50 avg, out 4.30), 200 contracts

Now in +SWGHV (300 @ 1.90). Waiting for the rebound in SPY
 
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