I have been running up against a wall. TA on Intraday charts seems very.....lacking to say the least. Everything that works on a daily chart seems to fall apart on a 1-5 min chart. Am I crazy? Anyone else notice this?
Are you using a longer timeframe to look for setups on the smaller timeframe? If you're trading on a 5-min chart, you might use the 60-min to analyze the longer-term condition. I use the daily as the longer timeframe and trade on the 60-min. For instance here is the GBP futures daily chart, w/total contract volume:
http://tinyurl.com/j45qn
Note following the strong rally to A there is an exactly 50% retracement to B of that rally. At B on 6/29 and 6/30 there are 2 strong days on wide spreads closing at the highs on strong relative vol. Price then goes sideways for a couple of wks and then there is a shallow test of B at C, followed by a nice 4 day rally on good up vol and closes on the highs. The 2 day reaction 7/24 & 7/25 on lower vol, shallow retracement. Then a break to a new high on increasing vol. At his point I'm looking for the rally to continue.
Dropping down to the 60-min chart, zoomed out:
http://tinyurl.com/ee5gs
There is significant s/r at the thick yellow line on the GBP/USD, say 8540, which has been broken at 1 following a long consolidation and shakeout and test of that shakeout, retraced again to exactly 50% and the mid-point of the range at 2 on a shallow test.
Now let's zoom-in on the 60-min:
http://tinyurl.com/kvbon
Following the consolidation at 2 there is a strong rally back to s/r at 3 on relatively wide spreads and closes on the highs, then virtually no pullback, but rather a tight sideways consolidation on very narrow spreads sitting smack on that s/r line. This followed by a good rally to a new high at 4. The reaction to 5 finds support at 3, the previous s/r line, and is another 'zact 50% retracement of a rally, here off 2. This support holds well on a mini-head-and-shoulders consolidation, then a nice wide-spread up-bar to 6, back to the previous high at 4. Here price again goes sideways w/almost nil retracement.
So I would be looking to add-to or take a long position during this consolidation following 6.
Harold