Hi,
I read a little of someone’s psychological day trading journal here, and I thought it was a good idea, so I’m going to start one of my own.
I’m completely new to day trading, only started using the simulator late November last year, and have started using real money (beginning of the year).
I’ve lost almost 1000 so far! Out of an account that started with 2450.
A few things I’m thinking about:
You need to look back at your trades and think about the ideal. What is the ideal? Is the ideal predictable? How much uncertainty remains when you lay a bet on the winning side (buyers or sellers) — such as, when you buy at the bottom of a pullback (which can move either way). Because I needed more certainty, I would wait for the very beginning of a strong green candlestick before jumping into a trade but would end up on the weak end of further consolidation, too often getting stopped out of trades that would have worked fine otherwise. What is the ideal entry point? Where in the pullback is an ideal entry? Sometimes, going long, there would be large orders in the Level 2 Ask. I would wait until the orders would be filled -- but there could be a massive red candle once they are. So perhaps when the price returns to that same level at the Level 2 resistance and there are no more large orders sitting at the Ask, that is a good entry point.
Day trading is severely rule bound. I’m going to stick to the 3 strikes you’re out rule.
Yesterday, I lost 400, with an account balance of 1700. That’s 23.5% of my account.
Keeping strictly to a 2% risk tolerance per trade and 3 strikes rule, I would have lost only 6% of my account — i.e., 102.
PT
Well let's start off with some basics:
- Day trading with $2450 is a mistake. I have no idea why you'd do this but it's a mistake regardless. I wouldn't day trade casually with less than $15,000 on single contract futures. For a living I wouldn't day trade without an account value of at least $75,000 with at least two years worth of expenses in the bank.
- Paper trading is worthless. It builds a false sense of confidence. It's better to trade small and learn than feel like a champ after punching a heavy bag for months and then get knocked out in your first fight.
- You have no risk management. Here are the rules I use: Each trade is limited to 5% risk of the account. If I lose 10% of my account value I stop trading for a month and watch the markets to try to understand what I did wrong and what I need to do to improve. Only after I have an idea on how to correct my problem do I return to the market.
- Stop thinking about entries and exits. They don't matter. Pay attention to what the market is telling you. Missing a decent fill but capturing 80% of the market's movement is better than getting a good fill and watching your money evaporate.
- If you're trading on candles only a useful method is to pay attention to consolidation. Watch the market. It will tell you where it may want to go. If you see a big drop and a sudden consolidation you should ask "has the market decided the price range it's in now is the lowest it will go? What could go wrong to keep the market going down?" You need to see the current movements in the context of the larger picture.
- Stop trading on 5 minute, 15 minute, 30 minute. It's just noise. Sure you can scalp your daily nut from ES catching a good break on the 5 minute but why? I'd rather let my winners run and cut my losers early.
I am not a day trader. I hold my trades for a long time. My average hold time for a single contract is over a week (sometimes I gamble in MES/MNQ/etc but not so much anymore), for a futures spread (my bread and butter) I hold them 3 weeks to 3 months, and for options I trade exclusively in LEAPS (on companies I want to own in my retirement portfolio) these days. Some people are successful daytrading. I pulled in 28% last year just sitting on my hands. I don't expect to be featured in Market Wizards, but at least I can say I'm not struggling to be profitable. I know many more big shot day traders who have blown innumerable amounts of accounts than swing/investors who've done the same. Day traders keep the brokers employed. They don't keep accounts growing (generally).