Surf's Special Situation Journal

[jack hershey]

Quote from marketsurfer:

Well said! With all these short term timing maestros on the surf report, I'm surprised the market can even exist!

Time is NOT a variable in trading.

The two market variables operate when slugs of information with the same potential content are processed into named events. There are 10 price named events and 11 volume named events. Each set is interlocking.

Thus perception in trading is acquired in a very brief work effort.

These events pass during a trend after the trend begins and up until the trend ends. Each type of trend ending has a specific unique character. There are just 35 of these.

End Effects occur in the absence of any named trend events. How difficult is it to determine if 21 names are absent?

 

[cornix]

Quote from marketsurfer:

Would any of The market timing maestros care to make specific, real time, before the fact calls here or on their own journal? Otherwise it's all gibberish, hubris, and zero value add surf

Sorry Surf, if you think our general talk litters your thread tell me and I'll refrain from it.

Have no intention to post any real-time day trading calls currently. Just talking with the trading buddies here at the forum so to say.

 

[cornix]

Quote from R. Raskolnikov:

I just like increased ranges, I'll take trend or sideways action, just as long as the ranges open up some.

Definitely higher volatility is much better than low.

 

[cornix]

Quote from R. Raskolnikov:

Another very solid point. But also a point for noobs to be wary of because the last thing a noob needs is more leverage to go with an unproven method. But, it's nice to know that when the time comes and the skills are more advanced that that leverage can be used effectively intraday to exploit the gyrations.

Yeah, newbies better start as small as possible I strongly believe. As Buffet said "if it's worth the penny, it's worth a dime". Once the method is proven, increasing size is just a matter of time.

 

[marketsurfer]

Quote from RCG Trader:

But Surf, you say these other people say nothing, but what is it that you say?

You speak of Price Drivers, but you do not say what they are.

You ask others to reveal their TA, and the way they trade, so it can be tested.

Since we cracked the code of the PRICE DRIVER, the evidence is in the trades since January 1st. There has not been one loser in the YM and over 600 points of profit. The TA folks refuse to even post calls before the fact, something that the surf report has done since 2002 on a regular basis.

Just to clarify, I remain very bullish, but wanted to demonstrate the Price Drivers on shorter time frames hence the bearish profitable short term entry earlier. Nothing to do with Stochastics or other TA nonsense.

surf

 

[R. Raskolnikov]

Oy, these price driver traders never take losses. Cracked the code? Sounds like voodoo or witch craft to me. Be careful, readers.

Quote from marketsurfer:

Since we cracked the code of the PRICE DRIVER, the evidence is in the trades since January 1st. There has not been one loser in the YM and over 600 points of profit.

surf

 

[sculptor66]

Quote from marketsurfer:

Since we cracked the code of the PRICE DRIVER, the evidence is in the trades since January 1st. There has not been one loser in the YM and over 600 points of profit. The TA folks refuse to even post calls before the fact, something that the surf report has done since 2002 on a regular basis.

Just to clarify, I remain very bullish, but wanted to demonstrate the Price Drivers on shorter time frames hence the bearish profitable short term entry earlier. Nothing to do with Stochastics or other TA nonsense.

surf

Surf, you are talking about 1 1/2 months of trading here. While these were very nice trades, that's hardly statistically significant.

 

[R. Raskolnikov]

He already showed that he doesn't understand the concept of statistical significance when he poo poo'ed Cornix's 50+ trades.

This shouldn't come as a surprise.

Quote from sculptor66:

Surf, you are talking about 1 1/2 months of trading here. While these were very nice trades, that's hardly statistically significant.

 

[cornix]

Quote from R. Raskolnikov:

He already showed that he doesn't understand the concept of statistical significance when he poo poo'ed Cornix's 50+ trades.

This shouldn't come as a surprise.

50+ Cornix's trades are just luck, while a few Surf's trades is clear evidence of how superior PD's are.

 

[HurricaneUS]

Quote from cornix:

50+ Cornix's trades are just luck, while a few Surf's trades is clear evidence of how superior PD's are.