Surf's Special Situation Journal

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Quote from eurotrasher:

i had a futures broker back in the 80's who was always getting on the wrong side.

95% accuracy if you took the opposite trade.

trade the trader.


:D :D :D

LMAO! Some guy in the TopStep combine lost 18K in oil yesterday. I recommended flipping the chart monitor 180 :p
 
Quote from NoDoji:

LMAO! Some guy in the TopStep combine lost 18K in oil yesterday. I recommended flipping the chart monitor 180 :p

the aussie traders were on the right side.

:D
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

therefore, going long here at $92.09.

surf

Brother Surf, I've been working hard for you this morning: My longs in oil have outnumbered my shorts! And I'm stepping away from my desk for a while...that's generally a signal for a very strong move :cool:
 
Quote from NoDoji:

Brother Surf, I've been working hard for you this morning: My longs in oil have outnumbered my shorts! And I'm stepping away from my desk for a while...that's generally a signal for a very strong move :cool:

Funny! happy to see we are on the same side on this one. Yeah, I am expecting a strong upward move in CL to continue. Holding longs here.

surf:)
 
Quote from Xspurt:

TA Price Drivers can be like elephant footprints.

A few days back I posted the Gap lines and said we would get turbulence here. The S&R played out perfectly and the smart money hit the market hard - where the TA was waiting for them to show their hand.

If that doesn't grab your attention, nothing will

TA - follow the money!:D

No, following makes no sense. You need to get in prior to the "money" moving the market otherwise you are too late or at the best miss most of the move. Price Drivers try to place you into a trade PRIOR to the move taking place-- Following is for girlie men.
Just kidding! surf:D
 
It's interesting to compare a TA price driver in action with a surf price driver. TA gives precise zones and reveals the intent of the Strong Hands and it always drives out the weak hands.

Compare this to my last chart.

It's not so easy to call in advance because we usually follow the market, which seems a safer option. Time will tell.

(Pls excuse typos on chart)
 

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Quote from marketsurfer:

No, following makes no sense. You need to get in prior to the "money" moving the market otherwise you are too late or at the best miss most of the move. Price Drivers try to place you into a trade PRIOR to the move taking place...
So a "special situation" is over ("too late") by the time price actually turns in your intended direction? How "special" is that?
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

No, following makes no sense. You need to get in prior to the "money" moving the market otherwise you are too late or at the best miss most of the move. Price Drivers try to place you into a trade PRIOR to the move taking place-- Following is for girlie men.
Just kidding! surf:D

Sometimes that's very true like in a news release, but for the vast majority of cases that's not at all the way the market works.

JCP was a case in point. Massive buying that couldn't be hidden that afforded ample opportunity to get in long and they had this price as a goal. I could see the zones and then just wait for them to show their hand.
 
Quote from eurotrasher:

hey x,

you missed the classic chart structure at the bottom.

" the bird is the word."

another classic.


lol

You're absolutely correct eurotrasher, I missed surf's call or I'd have been all over it but others called it spot on with good old TA.

Seems worth keeping an eye on surf's calls so I'll try not to miss out again, time permitting :D

If this is a new idea for him, lets see how it goes. At the moment there is a "gap" between where he thinks the driver is going and where it actually goes and if that continues it could be very profitable to fade and if he gets it right then we can all party with surf.

I like surf's irrational over confidence - it reminds me of me when I recall being drunk (a long time ago now).
 
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