Surf's Special Situation Journal

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Palm Beach on the eve of the tropical storm--- sailing out into the Caribbean Sunday-- off the grid for awhile-- may be a roller coaster trip...

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Yeah I dunno, Surfy...sailing out into the Caribbean with a (possible) hurricane bearing down may not be the smartest thing you've ever done. Hope that you are going with a real company that has some experienced sailors, and not just some goofy hedge buds you know... :(



— Leaders across much of the Caribbean closed schools and government offices on Wednesday as Tropical Storm Isaac swept toward the region, and the U.S. military postponed hearings for Sept. 11 prisoners ahead of a storm that could sweep across Cuba and perhaps eventually menace Florida as a hurricane..."
 
Quote from Option_Attack:

Yeah I dunno, Surfy...sailing out into the Caribbean with a (possible) hurricane bearing down may not be the smartest thing you've ever done. Hope that you are going with a real company that has some experienced sailors, and not just some goofy hedge buds you know... :(



— Leaders across much of the Caribbean closed schools and government offices on Wednesday as Tropical Storm Isaac swept toward the region, and the U.S. military postponed hearings for Sept. 11 prisoners ahead of a storm that could sweep across Cuba and perhaps eventually menace Florida as a hurricane..."

Yeah, no doubt. thanks. Got a life jacket and waterproof satellite phone/ rescue beacon -- should be ok-- but trip may be postponed for awhile. Looking out at the ocean, its nasty out there! surf
 
<embed width="440" height="420" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://v6.tinypic.com/player.swf?file=wpgkn&s=6"><br><font size="1"><a href="http://tinypic.com/player.php?v=wpgkn&s=6">Original Video</a> - More videos at <a href="http://tinypic.com">TinyPic</a></font>
 
is it normal for price driver method to be this wrong for this long about a position? (eg jcp)

have you thought about opportunity cost of tied up money in losing positions? could be a problem.
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

Yeah, no doubt. thanks. Got a life jacket and waterproof satellite phone/ rescue beacon -- should be ok-- but trip may be postponed for awhile. Looking out at the ocean, its nasty out there! surf


lol, i've been boating for years..any seasoned sailor would laugh if asked to go out in those circumstances. if i had a nickle for each time i told my crews "no" about going out and then i turned out being correct...i could retire!!

a sat phone and multiple flotation devices are required and nice (sat phone) in blue water trips but see how well you do in the water waiting for help..
 
Quote from Fah Q:

he is short jcp right now, via price drivers method. so far he is holding out of the money. been this way for days.

price drivers are probably reversing for an explosive move higher but surfer is on vacation with no stop loss. oh well.

good call fah q, explosive move higher. price drivers must have reversed. is surf still on vacation? no stop?
 
Down about $3 on the JCP short. Things are unfolding slower than forecast but nothing has changed with th macro picture on the company. Continuing to hold. surf
 
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