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Quote from temuco:

Hi there, Marketsurfer,

I've been reading your debates here, but I have not been able to read your thread in its entirety, so forgive me if you answered this somewhere else. When I read someone refer to a price level as "support," that evokes, to me at least, a use of some aspect of technical analysis. Are you deriving these levels from traditional TA, or is this also a part of your price driver analysis?

Thank You,

Temuco
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Hi Temuco,

Yes, I use traditional TA for descriptive purposes and sometimes to build a context from which to to apply the the Price Driver analysis. surf
 
Quote from Wide Tailz:

If your price drivers have an inside scoop on the coming end of QE, I can't blame you for being short, if you trust your sources.

On the flip side, now that Abe is printing and austerity in Euroland is going out of fashion, Ben may sense his moment to take profits while the suckerz get in (suckers being the other CB's who did not ease in 2009, and are afraid of missing the partay)
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Yes, the Price Drivers have signaled that Bernanke will be FORCED to end or drastically cut back on QE, which I firmly believe will be the initial impetus for the house of cards to collapse.

surf
 
IOW's, you also use some TA in combination with PD. No shame in that.

Quote from marketsurfer:

Hi Temuco,

Yes, I use traditional TA for descriptive purposes and sometimes to build a context from which to to apply the the Price Driver analysis. surf
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Quote from Ash1972:

Nothing will change. Human psychology will always be the same and people will continue to be driven by fear and greed.

Look at market history if you want to know the future.
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I think technology will advance to the point of being able to predict the traditional markets with great accuracy-- this in turn will lead to flat lining of price. Whether or not some random number generator will be employed to create the "illusion" of markets at that time or if markets as we know them will simply cease to exist is unknown. The flatlining could also be caused by regulations or other govt controls. surf
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

Yes, the Price Drivers have signaled that Bernanke will be FORCED to end or drastically cut back on QE, which I firmly believe will be the initial impetus for the house of cards to collapse.

surf
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This is the big problem with your "PD" that I see. The element of TIME...

of course BB will scale back on QE ......the when is a matter of hot public debate....personally I can't see that he will do it in a time or manner to destroy our fledgling growth..
 
Quote from RichardRimes:

This is the big problem with your "PD" that I see. The element of TIME...

of course BB will scale back on QE ......the when is a matter of hot public debate....personally I can't see that he will do it in a time or manner to destroy our fledgling growth..
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The top tick is in in the DJIA--- the market will not surpass the high of 15523 in the YM untill there is a substantial retrace of the bull run-- this could easily mean to the < 10,000 area------ this is what the Price Drivers say and why I am SHORT. surf
 
Quote from R. Raskolnikov:

Hmmm, if you had shorted when Wall Street 2 came out in 2010, you would have gotten SMOKED.

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1027718/

I don't think this movie thing is such an accurate predictor.
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Wall2 was a redemption film, not a celebration of excess. Huge difference. Remember the drivers are a combination of inputs, not just one and we will soon see and are seeing other signs of the drop.

Warmly,

surf
 
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