Surf - What is exactly your plan IF it does make new highs? Anything can happen (it's a market). I have seen and sat with people who talk in terms of absolutes and it always ends the same way badly. It's not fun to watch people implode, turn to drink, marital issues etc.
The 2 red flags in your behaviour that I have seen so many times in others are:
a) thinking in terms of absolutes - the high is in, it has to drop 1000 points, false, nothing has to happen ever. You seem to have no plan if your scenario doesn't work apart from shorting more. You are on a string of 7 losses. For god's sake do not short more when it makes new ATHs.
b) propensity to fade long term trends - it's futile and leads to busted accounts time and time again. Market Makers know this, I used to be one at a firm. Retail and other losers always get on the wrongside of trends, that's how the MM make their money alongside by managing their inventory and aside from rebates.
Even if this trade does work out for you and you bank 1000 points then you will continue to fade long term trends until you wipe out. If you want to fade moves why not fade a highly co-integrated instrument rather than something trending?
I can tell you why a long term high is very likely not to be in place. The reason is a lot of retail and weaker players have shorted in the last 6 weeks. Just supposing we are in for a big drop, the larger players collectively will not allow the price to drop until these short are liquidated. These larger players will push price to liquidate you before any drop. In the event that they get caught offside they will drive price up to liquidate their average price for a small profit.
If I were you I would just stick to the marketing business (if you are not already). Otherwise you are just throwing your money away and it could end up very badly.