Quote from Epic:
My expectation has it roughly like this.
Mitt -- approx 400 delegates
Rick -- approx 170
Newt --approx 140
Paul -- approx 60
Well, I was really close.
Mitt -- 404
Rick -- 161
Newt -- 105
Paul -- 61
Newt was the big loser on the night. He needed to do better in his home state. He could've had a shutout there with more than 50% of the vote. He only got 47% where Mitt got 72% in his home state. Rick's problem is that his wins aren't big. The media likes to talk up these wins and make them into a big deal, but they are actually a sign of a very unorganized campaign.
When Mitt wins he many times gets 2x as many delegates as the runner up. This has happened in almost 1/2 of the contests so far. Several times it has been a shutout, even while voting has been proportional. Rick has only doubled his opponents twice. Where Mitt wins, he stacks up many delegates. Where newt wins, he does the same. Where Rick wins, he splits the delegates evenly.