Quote from atticus:
Short vol, neutral price. Market is bound by the Osama print and may see 1300 in the next 30 days. Go long the June AAPL 300/345/390 call(or)put fly or short the iron for ~26 risk. Go on vacation and sell at 36 in a month.
Realized vol and var will be well under implieds here.
Quote from newguy05:
atticus, that's a huge range on the fly. Did you pick this purely to short more vol?
I am using last trade since it's off hours. Too drunk to verify but the numbers should be close:
10x 300/345/390 Call
-Breakeven: $327 and $362
-Max loss: $27000
-Max gain: $17700
10x 325/345/365 Call
-Breakeven: $331 and $358
-Max loss: $6700
-Max gain: $13000
Wouldnt the 325/345/365 be a better risk/reward in this case? thanks