Quote from athlonmank8:
Are you positive this strategy works? And if so are u sure you're trading it right??
Thanks for your post. I am 100% sure this strategy works, I have done many tests on reliability and robustness of the strategy. And yes, I am not executing it correctly.
As of now, my account performance is not reflecting this strategy's performance rather is reflecting all the discretionary trades.
From yesterday, I have been working on improving my record-keeping so that I can analyze my discretionary trades once I have some data.
I have identified 15 different kind of set-ups that I will trade in a discretionary way and have numbered these set-ups from 1 to 15. So, starting from Monday, I will keep track of the number of trades I take daily under a given set-up. For some setups, I will have enough data within a fortnight to know my win/loss ratio and average win/average loss. For other setups, I will have enough data after a month or two. This data will help me 'correctly' position size the trades under different setups going forward - which till now I have been sizing using a seat of the pants approach - 'sadly and foolishly'.
I have classified the 15 setups under 4 different 'risk' categories - Low, Moderate, High and V. High. I am defining 'risk' as the uncertainty of a particular trade in the category and by the possible speed/range of price movement against me. For example, if I take a trade after an economic report, its a high risk trade - because price can move against me fairly quickly and by a large amount.
In my experience, out of 15 setups, 1 setup is a low risk setup, 5 setups are moderate risk setups, 4 setups are high risk setups and 1 setup is very high risk setup. I have never traded other 4 setups before - so I don't know how risky they are - I will put them in a risk category once I gain more experience with them.