Study: sell in May and go Away isn't as bad as you think

[Troy Bombardia]

There's 2 ways of looking at "sell in May and go away".

1. You can look at all the years in the past. The odds of the market going up vs. down are 50-50. "sell in May and go away" isn't consistently bearihs
2. You can look at all these cases in which the stock market first fell from January - April. Same result. May-September not consistently bearish

https://bullmarkets.co/study-sell-in-may-and-go-away-when-stocks-are-down-ytd/

 

[lawrence-lugar]

There's 2 ways of looking at "sell in May and go away

...Sell in May and go Away...people love silly, rhyming words and ideologies -- But best to leave the rhymes to rap songs and poems.
The more you say it...it can just be a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Sell in May and go away is irrelevant, anyways, to traders. Traders can make money everyday, in any market condition.
That saying is mainly for investors and sleepy macro mutual fund managers who basically only hold long the S&P.

 

[elitenapper]

...Sell in May and go Away...people love silly, rhyming words -- But best to leave the rhymes to rap songs and poems.
The more you say it...it can just be a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Sell in May and go away is irrelevant, anyways, to traders. Traders can make money everyday, in any market condition.
That saying is mainly for investors and sleepy macro mutual fund managers who basically only hold long the S&P.

You mean experienced / competent traders can make money everyday. That's probably about 5% of all traders out there?

 

[Scataphagos]

You mean experienced / competent traders can make money everyday. That's probably about 5% of all traders out there?

Probably. Every trader strives to be one of those.

 

[Scataphagos]

There's 2 ways of looking at "sell in May and go away".

1. You can look at all the years in the past. The odds of the market going up vs. down are 50-50. "sell in May and go away" isn't consistently bearihs
2. You can look at all these cases in which the stock market first fell from January - April. Same result. May-September not consistently bearish

https://bullmarkets.co/study-sell-in-may-and-go-away-when-stocks-are-down-ytd/

"Sell in May and go away" is a notion for theme players. Doesn't apply to traders.

 

[viruscore1]

They say it's 50 / 50, but there's always a sell off in may. The guy was just saying that it's just a fun rhyme on cnbc. I wouldn't want him as my advisor...

 

[tomorton]

Do you know what the other half of the rhyme is?

Knowing this, perhaps this cliché "strategy" works better?............