Study says Daytrading for a living is virtually impossible.

Abstract
We show that it is virtually impossible for an individual to day trade for a living, contrary to what course providers claim. We observe all individuals who began to day trade between 2013 and 2015 in the Brazilian equity futures market, the third in terms of volume in the world, and persisted for at least 300 days: 97% of them lost money, only 0.4% earned more than a bank teller (US$54 per day), and the top individual earned only US$310 per day with great risk (a standard deviation of US$2,560). Additionally, we find no evidence of learning by day trading.

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3423101
One study can't testify for real life. People make a living from day trading and it's a fact.
 
Okay okay. Now do a study with equities day traders on US stocks with >100IQ that put away ample money to learn and quit their jobs to practice and study and put in more than a year and we're driven to succeed.
 
I was profitable within year 1. Made several million USD in year two at a now-bankrupt investment bank.

The study never considered that because your point makes absolutely no FUCKING SENSE
interested in what you traded to reach that #
 
Trading is a bit like being a magician.

Magicians appear to be able to do the impossible. You might dream up all sort of ways they achieve what they do.

When you meet a magician and they start to tell you how their tricks work, the reality is a lot less magical than you first thought.

So - you see in trading - all these ads for 90% win rates, hidden magical price levels to give you massive returns. That's people selling the magic.

Then you go see a successful prop trader with a 50% win rate - it all seems a bit disappointing...
 
Last edited:
The worst retail traders are a lot worse than the worst pro traders.
The best retail traders are a lot better than the best pro traders.
 
"Is that because there are more retail traders?"

No, although there are more retail traders, but pro traders have advantage in accessing better and faster information and better trading equipment, that will more than offset it.

It is because pro traders are not allowed to take big risk, and since they are not allowed to do so, they lack experiences in making exceptional high returns, lack experiences in dealing with high risk situation.
 
Another case of "internet shit-talker and alleged successful trader knows more about economic studies than a PhD in economics".

I have yet to find an Economist (PhD or otherwise) who actually understands the REAL economy of the modern world, modern money, derivatives or Central Banks. They are stuck in their ANCIENT theories of supply & demand, and money being printed ONLY when certain checks and balances are fulfilled on some old list that the bankers don't even use anymore.
 
I have yet to find an Economist (PhD or otherwise) who actually understands the REAL economy of the modern world

There are some. Roubini is ok. I like the Australian Steve Keen. Another is Robert Shiller and Micheal Hudson. Economics is inherently political. This fact is inescapable. The discussion is tiptoeing around politically sensitive issues, the creation of money being one of them.

The real great economists are dead.

John Maynard Kaynes was a boss. He traded foreign currencies and ran businesses. Held office in high ranking government offices. Read his story if you think economists are fools.
 
Back
Top