Stop Losses are killing me

Successful trading takes emotional maturity and discipline.

If you’re posting as a newish member here on ET soliciting advice under a thread you titled: “Stop Losses are Killing Me” - then it might reasonable to assume that you are a bit exasperated emotionally.

If you can’t take a few weeks or even months off in order to really model the markets hard and backtest - then there is no reason to believe that your trading stint this time around will have a better result than your previous failed attempts.

And yes, I put in a ridiculous amount of background effort developing and refining my trading system.

Actually I'm not totally newbie. I can handle the losses pretty well emotionally, so I'm not emotionally exasperated actually. Been through many of the challenges with trading already. But you're correct, obviously I don't know what I'm doing and shouldn't be risking much if any on these types of trades.
 
Now that’s a positive sign. That is real progress.

I’ve been trading a long time and I’ve worked with a couple hundred clients as well.

I hate generalizations in trading - but the traders that I’ve seen make serious FU money in this business since electronic trading took over have put a tremendous amount of background work into their trading system and position management. And they have the discipline not to repeat mistakes.

Even in the days of pit trading - new guys would stand there literally for weeks with their arms folded watching and observing.

Have a plan, and work your plan.

And it might be really tough to stay with a trade - especially in these days of Bot and Algo driven market noise and gamesmanship.

Don’t play to their strengths. I can tell you that one of the things I’ve done is trade smaller size and become a swing trader. I don’t want to compete with the Bots quite honestly.

Actually I'm not totally newbie. I can handle the losses pretty well emotionally, so I'm not emotionally exasperated actually. Been through many of the challenges with trading already. But you're correct, obviously I don't know what I'm doing and shouldn't be risking much if any on these types of trades.
 
I am managing a small fund for quite a few years now. I will share some of what I have learnt along the way.

There's very thin edges in technical analysis (chart analysis), or non-existing. Depending on the instruments. You might find more edges in indices than in Forex.

Fundamental analysis will likely give you an edge if you know how to interpret the data and the magnitude of impact it creates.

It takes a lot of work, time and effort to understand the market. Once you have understood the market, you still have to come up with a profitable strategy which is probably equally as hard.

These are my personal opinions, might be different for others.
 
Been doing swing trading and have even tried day trading. Not very successful with either, though swing trading has been better. One thing I noticed is stops are killing me in both. Prices often go away but by that time I get stopped out. Been out of the markets for several years and came back to invest in the cheap oil prices. Noticed buying low and holding seems to work better for me, no stop, just investment. But wondering about getting into day trading. Again tried some swing and day trades but again keep getting stopped out. Wondering what I'm doing wrong. Maybe I should try scalping or more quick momentum trades, or scanning markets for major company moves and then try to trade the momentum. Little experience in scanning for stocks, mostly looking at mini S&P, which has been sort of a sitting game. For some reason don't like stocks, but I guess that's where the daily big news and momentum is going to be, while in S&P it's not always a daily event. But I hear there are algos that do these sort of quick trades better. At the same time I know some day traders are successful.


about day trading ...

1. you might have traded choopy untrendy market.
such market must not be traded

2. your entry timing might be wrong.
in most cases, you have 1 or 2 seconds window to enter.
at times, you have < 1 second to enter. and at times, you can take your sweet time to enter.
If you miss that 1st opportunity, there might / might not be 2nd opportunity.
 
Fundamental analysis will likely give you an edge if you know how to interpret the data and the magnitude of impact it creates.

That's not a valid statement as you can say the same for technical analysis:
"technical analysis will likely give you an edge if you know how to interpret the technical analysis and the magnitude of impact it creates."

Anything related to trading can give you an edge if you know how to use it.

This thread reminds me all the time about the discussion " entries are not important, exits are". If OP is getting killed from stops he should improve his entries as that is the cause of the problem. Better exits will not help as he will never get that far, he will be stopped before. He will be stopped because the difference between the market and the entry is too big. He cannot change the market but he can change the entry.
 
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DGqOMl8B


This is where I got stopped out yesterday in the last hour in S&P. Was looking for a pullback, fading of the resistance, but all of the sudden big volume buying came in and stopped me out, not even a small pullback happened. Not very experienced, is that a decent trade that just got stopped out? Or was something wrong with the trade? To me it seemed like a prime trade that I thought highly likely would succeed. That's the 1hr chart but I was using the 5 minute chart, waiting for a small pullback. That got me to thinking maybe I need to focus also more on momentum, 1 minute charts, things like that.

basically you shorted ES when market is STILL going up.


you were doing counter trend aka kamikazae trading.
when price hit resistance line, it doesn't mean price will go down.
those SR lines are adding confusion rather than aiding us in our trading.
there is nothing in the chart to show market is reversing direction to go down.

I used to draw thousands of SR lines till I could hardly see the candlesticks.
Now I have zero.
 
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"reading tea leaves will likely give you an edge if you know how to interpret the taste and the magnitude of impact it creates."
 
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