Stock Model

nitro · Oct 5, 2011

Quote from trendlover:

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http://www.reuters.com/article/2011...ters/businessNews+(News+/+US+/+Business+News)

trendlover,

Model says F is zero at this point. So it appears that you are correct. Don't second guess your capacity to analyse a stock - a very shrewd analysis will almost always beat a static analysis of a stock the way that Stock Model does (to say nothing of time frames). You can see trends that Stock Model cannot see.

I hope you went (or stayed) long F.

nitro · Oct 5, 2011

Quote from KS96:

Did your APKT's rating of -6 increased?

No, still -6.

KS96 · Oct 5, 2011

Quote from nitro:

No, still -6.

why did you cover?

nitro · Oct 5, 2011

Quote from KS96:

why did you cover?

You don't think +28% in a few days is a good target? Sheesh!

KS96 · Oct 5, 2011

Quote from nitro:

You don't think +28% in a few days is a good target? Sheesh!

I don't know what a good target is.
Would you short it again right now based on its -6 ?

nitro · Oct 5, 2011

Quote from KS96:

I don't know what a good target is.
Would you short it again right now based on its -6 ?

Yes of course, but instead I rotated into FFIV. Not nearly as good a short, but if APKT comes anywhere near where I shorted before, I will wack it again Stock Model willing.

KS96 · Oct 5, 2011

can you work your model backwards and tell us at what price it is going to turn neutral for the stock?

nitro · Oct 5, 2011

Quote from KS96:

can you work your model backwards and tell us at what price it is going to turn neutral for the stock?

Not possible. It is not strictly price based....

nitro · Oct 5, 2011

NUAN, -2

trendlover · Oct 5, 2011

Quote from nitro:

trendlover,

Model says F is zero at this point. So it appears that you are correct. Don't second guess your capacity to analyse a stock - a very shrewd analysis will almost always beat a static analysis of a stock the way that Stock Model does (to say nothing of time frames). You can see trends that Stock Model cannot see.

I hope you went (or stayed) long F.

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I am looking for this long term, so I stay. This is what I think. This price can be at the high of $38.00 in 1999 with (less global market) AND (high pay for the union worker) in this time.
Now poorer countries move to the middle and can have cars. Ford is taking some share of this growth (AND) have negociaciones with the union to help to their labor cost (AND) pay down some debt.
I see growth.