Stock Markets at their cycle highs ?

J

Joma

Arguments :

1) Central banks around the world raising rates
2) Volatility Index at its lows
3) Raising risk appetite from investors with extended cash reserves
4) Excessive Mergers and Acquisitions/LBO/Private Equity activity
5) Risk premiums at their lows
6) Inverted yield curves

Welcome to the discussion !:D
 
you're right on the money but we don't know wether it happens now or 3-6 months with dow 1000-1500 pts higher. its impossible to predict it
 
Quote from hedgeking:

you're right on the money but we don't know wether it happens now or 3-6 months with dow 1000-1500 pts higher. its impossible to predict it
More...


Well, there is one close-to-the-market instrument that you have to wtach out for :

Look for the risk premiums in the credit default markets to raise. By then, you should know that the rally is over !
 
Quote from Joma:


1) Central banks around the world raising rates
2) Volatility Index at its lows
3) Raising risk appetite from investors with extended cash reserves
4) Excessive Mergers and Acquisitions/LBO/Private Equity activity
5) Risk premiums at their lows
6) Inverted yield curves
More...

None of these fundamental metrics has anything to do with cycles.
 
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