Quote from Landis82:
There's been lots of cash on the sidelines in money market funds for the last year or so, but that hasn't equated with a strong market, now has it?
Given the $70 trillion in CDS exposure, a lot of that recent selling will never see its way back into the equity markets . . . Instead, it's going to pay off bad bets on bad bank debt ( LEH, WM, WB, AIG, etc ) in a cash settlement.
LEH CDS auction was last Friday.
We've still got about 5 more of these CDS auctions to go.
Quote from bostonsoxfan:
Excellent point. And if unemployment soars figure that will depress the pool of new money coming in too. There is no denying the market will take an enormous time to recover. Add in a threat of deflation on top of that and you won't see any money going back into the market anytime soon.
Quote from Landis82:
I have to edit my $70 TRILLION CDS number.
That includes "both" parties. Thus, the real number is half that.
$35 Trillion as of Oct. 9th
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?threadid=141334
Quote from bostonsoxfan:
Excellent point. And if unemployment soars figure that will depress the pool of new money coming in too. There is no denying the market will take an enormous time to recover. Add in a threat of deflation on top of that and you won't see any money going back into the market anytime soon.