Be emotionally / financially ready for the worst case scenario: Not taking money from markets for an extended period of time.
Quote from Raleigh Lee:
What have you found to be the most effective steps to becoming a consistently profitable trader?
Quote from jack hershey:
This is a hindsight comment. Sort of like: "If I had it to do all over."
1. Start in stocks and position trade until your weekly commissions equal your salary. Keep your job two years longer.
2. Train your broker to work for you. Or in today's markets arrange to make your own trades to the trading desk.
3. Never bet or use OODA. Never take risks. The routine is Monitor, Analyze, Decide, Act. The most common acts are: WAIT and HOLD.
4. Use bar charts and indicators with fixed signals. Later add 10 to 12 leading indicators of price.
5. Log bar-by-bar where every bar has a name. (This is true of volume bars AND price bars). Use highlights fully and annotate completely.
6. Begin to trade with the minimum of capital for round lots and for contracts. Sweep your profits from accounts weekly to remove ALL of your intial capital. Then let accounts grow.
7. Make a one pager(criteria, filters, formulae, rules and strategy) for each market application. Go from independent variable to dependent variable only.
8. After the one pager's are complete, you are taking the full offer of the market. For stocks only trade long (enter/exit) with a quality Universe (7 way filter). For commodities have a neutral bias (Hold/reverse). All in (94%) All the time (RTH)
8. Give away new found money and time to some extent steadily; help sove local problems.
9. Iteratively refine your apps (Use "BF or BS" refinement rules.)
10. Learn more and faster by helping others do what you do.
Those are the steps for building wealth. It is best to have a mentor. Mentors do not cost money because they are investing in you so you can help others.
Below are common mistakes and myths:
The market is always correct. It has no flaws. no noise or no anomalies.
There is no way to predict and prediction is not necessary.
Never use probability. The market is binary AND the measures are vectors and NOT scalors. The mathematics of markets is Boolean Algebra. Therefore, True and false or pass or fail are what the names of results become. This is all finite mathematics.
The independent variable in a market is volume. The dependent variable is price.
Time is NOT a variable BUT events are the horizontal axis.
50% of the bars in a day cannot be measured. For those bars, the measure's name is WAIT.
Markets operate in systems. 5 OOE's are entwined so as to form a trunk. In your mind this is found as a spectrum and the spectrum is fully differentiated. Given a comprehensive coding system this mental capability can be transferred to code to become an ATS.
Performance.
Because there is not competition in trading, the performance standard is "taking the full offer of the market". After you choose your trading fractal, measure the offer of the market on that fractal. That is your performance objective.
The above is based upon 55 years of trading so far.
Mostly everyone fails to perform as a trader. This will not change any time soon. If you are involved in trading, you can score yourself and why you are going to fail using this post.
Quote from Xspurt:
Thanks Jack, that's clear.
As you know I invited surf and yourself to a fun kinda competitive trade off where we take a student or trade ourselves (surf only has an intern) to show how to make a $1,000,000 profit from $10,000 in a 12 month period. Real money down and a full audit from a top 5 international accountancy.
Market just closed so I am relaxing. I have four of these right now. My approach is to link them to my account so that aspect is covered by your either statement. I use GTM as a mentoring means.
They will be a little less than 10K but that does not matter.
Could we just end the trip early at 1 mllion? I would guess so.
As it turns out I will not be trading every day due to medical limitations. We are on a ight schedule to remove implanted heavy metals and secondly get the galvanically ionized deterioration to exit the body and prevent further spread to areas that can't handle an intrusion.
I am going to run a journal and others can verify it. I am used to audits, regulator citations and the government requests for additional capital. I have had discussions aalready with respect to the public record I will be creating.
Surf is afraid of photoshopping so I said he can pick the accountancy practice and auditor (can even be a friend of his) and look over one-broker statements so he knows there's no tricks. He can even try to reverse engineer if he wants.
I'll put a statement up in the journal. Surf is unfamiliar with GAAP and so are his acquaintances. Read their bios.
Unfortunately surf's says he doesn't have to prove his Price Drivers to me or anyone else and put me on ignore. I'm still going through the grieving process because I feel like I have lost my right arm when surf has me on ignore.
ET is just a forum; it draws all kinds of peple.
So it's down to you and me Jack. I understand what you said about the difficulty getting anyone to differentiate their minds as it's one of the 1st roadblocks I need to demolish. Do you have someone who wants to have a go at using STC to demonstrate how their best attempt at X6 the ATR looks like?
Four will be involved. I do not trade my own acounts since it is too hazardous. My past careers draw flies who have grudges.
I am a wee bit ahead as we have a full 4 weeks completed and after a disaster of a first week due to beginners mistakes we got back on track, committed to the rules and the newbie has now over $30k in his account from a $10K start. Performance wise he's way ahead of the schedule so the end goal looks like a slam dunk.
10K to a million in 12 months is a slam dunk. We will run with 94% of capital and have a neutral bias. I will be taking the full offer of the market intraday in futures. The details will be in the journal and the journal will wind up in chit chat as usual.
Now are you up for this or do you have a newbie or even an experienced SCT'er who wants to show ET that TA really works?
See above. Was the starting date a month ago (some time in February?) I'm writing a 32 chapter book so I will post illustrations as nice examples emerge. I am going to replace a lot of the current literature. That is one reason I delined interviews with these grifters. The book will be free to those helping me solve problems. We will be extracting capital from Wall Street and putting in back on Main Street with veterans
I wasn't clear from your last reply if you're up for this? Really I was hoping for a 3-way race to the top but somehow surf's confidence in the superiority of his PD's seems to have evaporated and that was before his last stop out.
Surf will be getting a lesson on trend driveers and Covel will be getting a lesson on why tred following doesn't work and how monitoring and analysis of trends does work.
You gotta have a few STC'ers by now that are mad keen to strut their stuff?
Actually, what you are going to see is an institutionalization of solving a pervasive US problem. I have paused on this for a while because I wanted it automated completely. Currently, I am going ahead before that because I have to get some science done properly and that takes money, power and information. I will probably form a parallel to ANSYS starting with the money part. I have top support already on the heavy metals (high 9 digits plus desks and people with check writers).
I'll post this in Intuition Amplifiers thread in case you miss it here.
Quote from jack hershey:
This is a hindsight comment. Sort of like: "If I had it to do all over."
1. Start in stocks and position trade until your weekly commissions equal your salary. Keep your job two years longer.
2. Train your broker to work for you. Or in today's markets arrange to make your own trades to the trading desk.
3. Never bet or use OODA. Never take risks. The routine is Monitor, Analyze, Decide, Act. The most common acts are: WAIT and HOLD.
4. Use bar charts and indicators with fixed signals. Later add 10 to 12 leading indicators of price.
5. Log bar-by-bar where every bar has a name. (This is true of volume bars AND price bars). Use highlights fully and annotate completely.
6. Begin to trade with the minimum of capital for round lots and for contracts. Sweep your profits from accounts weekly to remove ALL of your intial capital. Then let accounts grow.
7. Make a one pager(criteria, filters, formulae, rules and strategy) for each market application. Go from independent variable to dependent variable only.
8. After the one pager's are complete, you are taking the full offer of the market. For stocks only trade long (enter/exit) with a quality Universe (7 way filter). For commodities have a neutral bias (Hold/reverse). All in (94%) All the time (RTH)
8. Give away new found money and time to some extent steadily; help sove local problems.
9. Iteratively refine your apps (Use "BF or BS" refinement rules.)
10. Learn more and faster by helping others do what you do.
Those are the steps for building wealth. It is best to have a mentor. Mentors do not cost money because they are investing in you so you can help others.
Below are common mistakes and myths:
The market is always correct. It has no flaws. no noise or no anomalies.
There is no way to predict and prediction is not necessary.
Never use probability. The market is binary AND the measures are vectors and NOT scalors. The mathematics of markets is Boolean Algebra. Therefore, True and false or pass or fail are what the names of results become. This is all finite mathematics.
The independent variable in a market is volume. The dependent variable is price.
Time is NOT a variable BUT events are the horizontal axis.
50% of the bars in a day cannot be measured. For those bars, the measure's name is WAIT.
Markets operate in systems. 5 OOE's are entwined so as to form a trunk. In your mind this is found as a spectrum and the spectrum is fully differentiated. Given a comprehensive coding system this mental capability can be transferred to code to become an ATS.
Performance.
Because there is not competition in trading, the performance standard is "taking the full offer of the market". After you choose your trading fractal, measure the offer of the market on that fractal. That is your performance objective.
The above is based upon 55 years of trading so far.
Mostly everyone fails to perform as a trader. This will not change any time soon. If you are involved in trading, you can score yourself and why you are going to fail using this post.
Quote from TheMagican:
Despite the all above,do the wash trades about 55% of the time,until commissions are equal or greater of your yearly profit.