Wanted to share a small aha with regard to âwhat must come next,â because semantics can sometimes cause confusion. For example âwhat wasnât thatâ always made me feel like I had to run my brain backwards to understand it.
I always had a bit of difficulty with the concept of âWhat must come nextâ. It seemed to be a prediction. Nothing really needs to happen, or must. Volume and price can change at any time. How can someone say for sure that something is going to happen before it does, or that the market âmustâ do something? You canât dictate what it must do. Because X happened, now Y must happen.
Actually itâs just a subtle shift in thinking. More along the lines of: what do we need to see for continuation, what do we need to see for change. Or you could say âwhat should happen,â though thatâs not as concrete. For a certain thing to happen (FTT, FBO, BO) certain things âmustâ happen for them to be so.
Itâs not a statement that âthisâ happened, now âthatâ will happen. Itâs a commentary on getting the confirmation of what we observed, more of an anticipation. If we are going to see continuation, What must come next: increasing volume, etc. What must come next for change or a failure to happen? We believe we had an FTT, what must come next: decreasing volume to the RTL. It we didnât get that, we didnât have an FTT, it was something else. Of the something elseâs (what wasnât that), what can happen, and what do we need to see for those to happen?
This may all seem redundant, or obvious to some. Sometimes itâs little things that become stumbling blocks. And a slight shift in your perception or how you read something makes a big difference. I hope this would help anyone who has or had a similar block.
Regards - EZ