Spydertrader's Jack Hershey Futures Trading Journal

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It never fails, as soon as I mentioned the low volume, 10 minutes later thing took off. :confused:

Easy day, lotsa points available.

I've been concentrating on getting dom traverses - sim trading. My thoughts are that once I become ho-hum about these entries, and am consistently correct/profitable, then I can move to live. Once that becomes ho-hum, I can move to reversing, and.... SCT !!
 

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Quote from:
I would have noticed increased red volume @ rtl.:D [/B]
The general idea is correct.

We can push a bit further.

As a profitable trader, our eyes are sensitive to signals others would miss.

I have assembled some DOM images, as an exercise, we can tie them to each point in time where that might happen?

<img src="http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1631686">

p.s. I don't have all the answers. Maybe you can share your insights on why such a phenomenon is happening?
 

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Quote from bi9foot:

R/R,

I believe MAK means this
thanks, that is now clear. I thought he was making a reference to the PT1 originally labeled.
 
Quote from Tums:

Brain teaser for the weekend

Here's a quiz for you.
I am sure you have seen the following situation. What signals you would have noticed along the way?

<img src="http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1630816">


I rely on the static and dynamic close of a bar to give information as to where price may be going.

Paying attention to the static closes of past few bars, and looking at the dynamic closing of the current bar, reveals much of what is needed to know.

The dynamic close of the current bar, is the tic chart seen at the bar.
The difference is the tick chart leaves behind a footprint trail, as to how many time price has hit a certain level, (showing how it is reacting to resistance or support)and that footprint trail is not seen in the bar. Only the current close of the bar is seen.

Although, watching the close of a bar closely , you can see how it is reacting to s/r., but the memory of where the dynamic close of a bar has been, is recorded on the tick chart.
 

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Looks like the previous DOM pictures did not get loaded properly. Here they are again.

What significant meanings do you see from these DOM images?

<img src="http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1632226">
 

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Food for thought ...
Quote from Grob109:

A. Be a beginner (1 contract only on a mini) ES for example.

1.Trade on fast trends only (4 points in 30min rate) with high volume (10 to 12K minimum). Enter and exit only.
2. Sideline all other times and be able to wash (go flat with no loss) everytime 1 fails.
3. Learn P, V relation.
4. Always use stops.

B. BE an intermediate:

Do all A above and add:

1. Trade all trends using a channel method (Pt1,2,3).
2. Exit at S and/or R always.
3. Reverse on slower trends not at S or R level.
4. Sideline when volume is below 6,000.
5. Bracket entry after all congestion ends.
6. Use multi contracts up to partial fills conditions.


C. BE an expert:

Do and A and B above and:

1. Trade at all times. (Exception: if consolidation at S/R is less than 3 pts in amplitude)
2. Recognize when market is in continuation part of P.V relation.
3. Recognize when market is in change part of P,V relation.
4. Trade all trend duration concurrently and independently (lgt, IT, and intraday) Currently: long (FBO saucer), short (leg 3 of Quarter) and n/a (this is normal), respectively.
5. On intraday, work with three independent analysis levels: background perspective; routine bar to bar action (trend analysis major effort); and, as required, intrabar additional protection action (wash and reverse).
6. Operate at a multiple of daily H/L level when all aspects of 4 are summed.

How training deals with inculcating the learning success is tied directly and only to results. To use a term that is common in ET, It is patently ridiculous to think that a person can start out using a "proven system". This is the killer screw up most people are subjected to by those who think they can teach. Prima facia, if a person unloads a "proven system" on someone, they are if fact teaching "failure" as the primary effort. All people who have "fear" in their NLP set, got it from a person foisting off on them a "proven system".

Results means consistent profits according to what the market offers. Fast trends account for 25% of the daily H/L. Slow trends account for 50 to 75% of he H/L. Continuous trading exceeds the H/L. Additional Protective Action, as an intrbar activity, will turn at least 1/3 of all trading from marginal to profitable each day and roughly equal the H/L ratio.


25 days of trading per level of learning and trading should be adequate to triple the initial capital of the beginning of that period of learning to it's end.

The equities equivalent of this stuff is now running at 30% profit for the first month of training and trading short term. About 6 weeks puts person in a free standing place where about 8 levels of further improvement are possible. The rudiments of most levels will be consciously understood but not practiced at the six week point. Profits from futures are rolled over into equities commonly to keep the futures method within bounds.
 
This picture reminds of a recent question submitted by bm. For Jack's discussion of it go here.

<img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1632353>
 

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Browsing another journal I found a few tidbits of nice advice:
Quote from Piscuy:

... When entering a trade it is always important to have a reason for an entry, being this a break of a major or minor support, resistance, trendline, or pattern like a wedge or an ascending triangle. Review your trades and try to find the reason for taking it and evaluate the validity of that reason. I know it is easier to do it after the fact but constant practice after the fact helps you develop enough insight to trade efficiently. You wont always be right but it will help in the long run. As for exits, dont expect anything out of a trade cause that gives you a bias, watch what the stock is doing and if its not doing what its supposed to do get out, and if you find yourself wishing praying or hoping run out cause your alredy wrong. you will have retracements but dont let a retracement become a looser. You will have to adjust this to the time frame you are trading and the risk tolerance you and your account have. If your not comfortable with a trade, get out and look for another one. A re entry is usually cheaper than a loss.


Piscuy
 
I attached several charts of Grob109 quote that CNMS2 referenced about being a beginner.

The charts show places on the chart where:

1) 4 points per 30 minutes ( upper chart )

Calculation

Slope = AbsoluteValue( HighestHi of last 6 5 minute bars - LowestLo of last 6 5 minute bars ) / 30 minutes

If Slope > 4/30 ( 4/30 = .133 ) Then color HLOC bar black else yellow



2) 10k Volume Minimum

Calculation

IF 5 period Moving Average of 5 minute bar > 10,000 then volume = blue else volume = yellow

Where the price chart is black and the volume is blue are regions in the chart that beginners
can trade.

This "trade filter" would of filtered out several of my trades recently.
 

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