Quote from dkm:
I expect that this hurdle is the consequence of not being able to use the finer tools with any consistency. Str/squ seems to be totally schizophrenic and far too many games are played on DOM for me to tell what is real or fake.
If you draw in the formations as soon as the second bar in the formation develops, you'll easily see the market has paused to ask you, "Are you
sure you are on the
right side of the market?" One needs no other tools, but the ES chart and PRV, to see this phenomenon unfold. While inside the formation, price often oscillates - as does volume color. However, none of this matters until Price breaks out of the formation (and the High / Low of the previous bar). Until this event occurs (Price Breakout on increasing Volume) there is nothing to do but wait. No action to take, No question to answer.
As I indicated, in my posts at the beginning of the month, occasionally, one needs to remain alert for a couple of unexpected sequences. The first, a formation FBO, sees price exit the formation on increasing volume only to return / close back
inside the formation boundary. The second, an Outside Bar, often contains the Intra-Bar Gaussian shifts which cause so many traders difficulty. These two phenomenon simply do not occur frequently enough to become the mainstay of one's trading. With a formation FBO, one simply resets and waits for the next bar. With an outside bar, note the context, and either A. Place yourself back on the right side of the market, or B. Exit and await the end of the inside bars which surely follow.
The finer tools assist with these two aspects of the Formation BO only. One does
not need the finer tools for the vast majority of the Formation BO. In fact, if you note the Gaussians
before the formations, and then, note them again after the formations, you should see the
/\/ and
/\/ Gaussian changes rather than the typical
R2R-\/ and
B2B-\/. As such, one can anticipate these changes in advance.
Today, my chart was filled with formations. Certainly, much of the oscillating color concerns occurred within these bars. As such, simply wait until you have a BO on increasing volume to take the trade. As the BO occurs, the oscillation goes away, and translation takes over toward one direction or the other (up or down).
In fact, when you
think you have a formation developing (even if later, it turns out you really didn't), start to think along the lines of 'wait' on the formation. I think you'll find this exercise allows a trader the time needed for the market direction to unfold.
1. Do I want to take a trade?
2. Can i take a trade?
For a beginner, as long as Price resides
inside a formation you cannot take a trade (even if you wanted to).
- Spydertrader