Spydertrader's Jack Hershey Equities Journal

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Quote from svrz:

I'm sorry, I don't quite understand. Are you waiting for the stocks to fill the gap?

I'm sorry for any confusion created by my previous reply. Allow me to clarify. With the "Gap Open" Method, I look for stocks that don't fill. Their price keeps chugging along in the direction of the gap without so much as a pullback for the first thirty minutes of the trading day. Any stock that experiences a pullback, reversal or simply flat lines before 10:00 AM, I remove from consideration. By 10:00 AM, most of the gap open stocks have failed to meet the above criteria leaving few (1 or 2) if any trade possibilities. At 10:00 Am, you simply buy the stock with the best chart (nicest stair step look). If price falls after your purchase, you exit immediately. If price continues to rise, you hold until price pulls back.


Quote from svrz regarding my ETF Strategy:

Can you kindly elaborate on this?

What follows is an extreme oversimplification, but should help to clarify the overall methods. With the ETF Trading Methods, one seeks to capture the daily move (up or down) of the market using the DIA, SPY or QQQQ (formerly QQQ). One buys at the open and sells just before the close. If the trend fails to continue in the direction of the open, you reverse position. Adding on extra shares during the afternoon session provides an opportunity to increase gains made during the morning or recoup losses experienced during a reversal. Often numerous reversals occur during the trading day. Reversing positions during the numerous market reversals requires increased speed to close one position and enter into an opposite one (sell your longs and then short). The increased need for speed requires automation to effectively reduce delay, human error, and slippage.

I hope that helped.

- Spydertrader
 
2005-02-16, Wednesday - Update

Due to price for MFLX falling to our stop price, I sell all shares of MFLX. I received a slightly less than favorable fill at $22.40 resulting in a gross profit of .77 per share on 1000 shares - a 3% gain.

- Spydertrader
 
Thanks for the thorough explanation, Spyder.

I think you should take a look at index futures. I recommend the following indices in this order:

YM (Emini Dow)
MR (Russell 2000)
NQ (Nasdaq 100)

Check out CME for more info:

http://www.cme.com

Take care.
 
2005-02-16, Thursday - Lists

I used RS and EPS Settings of 90 for the following lists

Stocktables.com
Sevens - Ones - Zeros
HURC - NGPS - FLSH
MT - HLIT - MFLX
MEE - UTHR - USNA
PMTI - TIBX - MTEX
WITS - WCC - LSS
VTIV - CCJ - ISRG
ANGO - LCAV - TRGL
VPI - EZPW - CMC
BUCY - WWCA - SNDA
NSS - ANTP - XTO

Wealth-Lab Chartscript/Manual
Hotlist

ANTP
NGPS
ANGO
TRGL
MFLX
HURC
EZPW
SNDA

Wealth-Lab Data/Yahoo Data
Watch List

GOAM - DU Cycle - DU5 - DU10 - DU20
PACT - DU Cycle - DU5
ANTP - DU Cycle - DU5 - DU10
CUTR - DU Cycle - DU5
TASR - DU Cycle - DU5
NGPS - DU Cycle - DU5
KEYW - DU Cycle
FRD - DU Cycle
INTN - DU Cycle - DU5
ELOS - DU Cycle - DU5 - DU10 - DU20
BCSI - DU Cycle - DU5 - DU10 - DU20
EBKR - DU Cycle
ESMC - DU Cycle - DU5 - DU10 - DU20
HRT - DU Cycle - DU5 - DU10 - DU20
SINA - DU Cycle - DU5 - DU10
HLIT - DU Cycle
IDSA - DU Cycle - DU5 - DU10
EVCI - DU Cycle - DU5
ULBI - DU Cycle - DU5 - DU10

Wealth-Lab Developer Data & Equations/G33M4K Equations
SRVZ Wealth Lab Equations - Dry Up (with G33M4K Score)

NGPS - 5

Eyeball
Gallas2 "Keep an Eye on These" Stocks

UBET (Attached)

Yahoo Data/G33M4K Equations
Dry Up Stocks with G33M4K Master List Score of Zero

GOAM
PACT
ANTP
CUTR
TASR
ELOS
ESMC
HRT
SINA

Stocktables Sort/Yahoo Data/G33M4K Equations/
Test Culling Method with Score Hotlist

ELOS 0
EXM 0
HANS 0
MFLX 1
KEYW 2
MIPS 2
SNDA 2
TRGL 2
EZPW 5
ISSC 5
PMTI 5
TOPT 5
MT 7

(GOAM, ANTP, NGPS, ANGO, HRT, IDSA & HLIT have float outside normal parameters) - MT & TRGL now have float within our parameters.

The following Stocks have been ADDED to the Final Universe List as of 2005-02-07: HURC.

<img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=688257>
 

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Quote from svrz:

I think you should take a look at index futures.

Thanks for the recommendations, and I value your advice on futures trading. I know nothing of the futures markets, and differ to your extensive knowledge on the subject. I have both futures and options education on my list of things to do. Hopefully, I can begin that journey sometime this summer. However, based on my minimal knowledge of futures trading, I would think one could adapt my ETF Methods to the futures markets. How could I find historical intraday charts for the YM or NQ - type in a date and view the day's chart from a particular date in the past?

- Spydertrader
 
hello ...

have you read "trading like a hedge fund" ?
I picked up a copy of it after going to a Fido
sponsored wealth - lab seminar at the recently
concluded traders - expo

good luck to you in 05

setharb
 
Quote from Spydertrader:

Thanks for the recommendations, and I value your advice on futures trading. I know nothing of the futures markets, and differ to your extensive knowledge on the subject. I have both futures and options education on my list of things to do. Hopefully, I can begin that journey sometime this summer. However, based on my minimal knowledge of futures trading, I would think one could adapt my ETF Methods to the futures markets. How could I find historical intraday charts for the YM or NQ - type in a date and view the day's chart from a particular date in the past?

- Spydertrader

If you are going to use QCharts, you will type the symbol and the front month. For example for EMini Dow, the symbol is YM. The front month is March which has a symbol of 5H. So you just type YM05H.

Your ETF method may work very well. The volume method which we discussed previously also works quite well. Contact me when you are ready to delve into it.

Take care
 
Quote from SethArb:

hello ...

have you read "trading like a hedge fund" ?
I picked up a copy of it after going to a Fido
sponsored wealth - lab seminar at the recently
concluded traders - expo

good luck to you in 05

setharb

I looked at it at the bookstore. It is an interesting book. Have you started testing some of the methods mentioned?
 
2005-02-16, Thursday - Update

The system generated a signal this morning when actual volume for FRD exceeded the 50% pro-rata volume level. Since we do not see price improvement, we ignore the signal. As a result, we take no action with regards to FRD. For those thinking FRD might provide a viable "short opportunity," we look to our indicators for clarification. Although MACD (-.0198) continues to remain negative, The Stochastic Indicator (31.0629) fails to fall below the 20 level (our desired parameter for shorting). For those wishing to track FRD for educational purposes, price held at $12.00 at the time of signal generation.

- Spydertrader
 
2005-02-16, Review of MFLX Trade

Although we experienced a profitable trade with MFLX, we also witnessed price improvement after price reached our stop point. The temptation to think, "Gee, if we would have only held out a little longer, we could have sold with another $500.00 in profit" clearly exists when reviewing one's trades. However, every signal, decision, pattern and trade idea appears with improved clarity in hindsight compared to real time. The importance of disciplined adherence to one's trading rules fails to materialize in this example. It appears on the surface ignoring the rules provided increased profits. However, over the long term, following one's stop rules actually prevents the loss of profits.

A profitable trader may experience a loss on any one trade, yet continues to follow the trading plan because over the long haul, the rules provide a positive expectancy. The same holds true for a stop loss. On any one trade, ignoring the rules might provide greater profits, but over the long haul, adherence to the stop loss rules protects more profits (by reducing losses) than the money "left on the table" from any one trade.

- Spydertrader
 
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