Quote from chud:
What do you mean by ES being too efficient for candlestick traders?
Hi chud,
First of all, keep in mind that the thread starter put limits (an
if scenario) on which is better via specially stating that the usual differences between ES and SPY don't exist and wants someone to explain why one is better than the other.
Simply, I think he just wants us to talk about the differences via the price action only.
Therefore, to prevent any confusing statements...
I didn't say ES was too efficient for
Japanese Candlestick pattern traders.
I say the following...
ES is too efficient in comparison to SPY for day traders that mainly get their pattern signals from Japanese Candlesticks.
Thus, I'm comparing ES to another trading instrument (SPY) to determine which is more suitable for trading via Japanese Candlestick pattern analysis.
Therefore, I'm not saying ES is not suitable for Japanese Candlestick pattern analysis.
In addition, I'm only talking about day trading via the lower chart intervals.
ES when compared to SPY...
ES produces
less Japanese Candlestick pattern signals for day trading.
In other words, ES has fewer trade opportunities in comparison to SPY if your only getting your pattern signals via Japanese Candlestick pattern analysis.
Therefore, if everything else is equal between the two as the thread starter suggested even though we know that's far from the case...
We really are only looking at the price action and the generated trade opportunities.
As a Japanese Candlestick pattern trader that has no preference between the two (ES or SPY) if everything else is equal...
I would select SPY.
However, as I stated before, if I do prefer to trade ES instead of SPY (in reality I do because every thing isn't equal) as a Japanese Candlestick pattern trader...
I would have ES and SPY on my monitors side by side and if SPY has a valid pattern signal when ES does not...
I would take the trade in ES due to their high price action correlation.
Summary, if your day trading and your mainly getting your pattern signals from Japanese Candlesticks...
Watch both considering more often than not one of them (SPY) will have more pattern signals than the other (ES).
Yet, if your using a different methodology in comparison to Japanese Candlestick pattern analysis and if all other things are equal...
ES may be more suitable.
I'm just staying
on topic to an
if scenario given by the thread starter by stating that for us to determine which is better to trade...
Our strategy, trade opportunities and trade management will be the deciding factors.
Mark
(a.k.a.
NihabaAshi) Japanese Candlestick term