SPY Options Arb

It looks decent bc you're avoiding the stress post auto-ex on the Sep10s. If you swap the Sep10s for Sep17s the stress adds $350 to the loss on the downside.
 
It looks decent bc you're avoiding the stress post auto-ex on the Sep10s. If you swap the Sep10s for Sep17s the stress adds $350 to the loss on the downside.


Your expiry in ToS shows Sept-18, while the first option expires Sept 10, so looks like you're exercising/converting it to shares. But my ToS graph shows profitability by Sept 10, and even by August 22. So supposedly I could sell it by August 22nd with guaranteed profit.

Though I suspect this trade may be difficult to execute properly and I might've overpaid because "guaranteed" profit shows as only $0.50 ($50) on such complex combo. This doesn't leave any room for error or slippage. Still, I may just watch it and see how this trade works. I was only aiming for high R/R, and this one came up.
 
Your expiry in ToS shows Sept-18, while the first option expires Sept 10, so looks like you're exercising/converting it to shares. But my ToS graph shows profitability by Sept 10, and even by August 22. So supposedly I could sell it by August 22nd with guaranteed profit.

Though I suspect this trade may be difficult to execute properly and I might've overpaid because "guaranteed" profit shows as only $0.50 ($50) on such complex combo. This doesn't leave any room for error or slippage. Still, I may just watch it and see how this trade works. I was only aiming for high R/R, and this one came up.


Sep12 follows the expiry line. It's a cheap front spread (terminally), but the haircut is poor. You need 300 SPX to make anything. I am not knocking it, but a long gamma 132 call fly will outperform.

There is no benefit to paying the vig on those deeps. You can delete the D1 and do better in all vol.
 
Debit of $35. Req of $1,035. $35 risk to zero. 1:1 upside risk.
 

Attachments

  • 2021-08-03_16-21-23.png
    2021-08-03_16-21-23.png
    34.1 KB · Views: 119
Back
Top