SPX Has Topped For The Year Or Pabst Will Leave ET

Quote from romik:

If Pabst's call for a top is to fail (I hope it doesn't, as I want him to make a killing on this one) that would prove yet again that experienced pros like Pabst do make errors of judgement. I did sense a little uncertainty in his observation of general sentiment vs his position, not that it probably matters as who is to say that ET represents views of the general public. I believe the public to be perhaps uncertain, but more bullish than bearish as they mostly follow their portfolios, media and indices. At least ET crowd have some awareness of technical analyses and how punishing the markets can be. I still think it was a bald call, it will be very interesting to see how it develops. All the best!

More than to know if SPX is going to exceed 1348 or not, it would be interesting to see HOW Pabst is trading his call(Position sizing, stop loss, martingale, etc..)
 
Quote from ACM Trader:

More than to know if SPX is going to exceed 1348 or not, it would be interesting to see HOW Pabst is trading his call(Position sizing, stop loss, martingale, etc..)

I'm happy to share.

I sold 5 ES at 1331.00 on September 21st. (net) I was in and out a bit that week.

I sold 5 more on 9/27 at 1347.25

Monday I sold 5 more at 1341 and covered that 5 lot at 1341.25

Yesterday I sold 5 more at 1339.00 leaving me short 15 lots.

I then bought 5 lots on buys stops at 1341.00, 1341.50 and 1342.00, leaving me flat.

I then sold 5 yesterday at 1345.50 and covered those this morning at 1348.50.

My last trade is a 5 lot sale at 1349.00, leaving me with a position of -5

Riskarb has advised me to sell some 1280 puts for NovEx against my short futures. I'm more inclined to sell Octs since I think November is the month that will see the most damage. I doubt I'll add to my futures position in this area at this time.

My saying I'm leaving ET if this call doesn't work out was less a "Waterloo" over the market than a statement about the stupidity of some members here. I get frustrated. Perhaps I should just ask Baron to ban me from the Politics and Religion thread...... 90% of ET'ers are good fella's but the anti-American's should be shot. :)
 
Quote from Pabst:


My saying I'm leaving ET if this call doesn't work out was less a "Waterloo" over the market than a statement about the stupidity of some members here. I get frustrated. Perhaps I should just ask Baron to ban me from the Politics and Religion thread...... 90% of ET'ers are good fella's but the anti-American's should be shot. :) [/B]

Those threads on Politics and Religion can be dangerous because they trigger a lot of emotions, mainly the ones you don' want, anger, frustration, hatred,... as they may influence, negatively, your thought process. and thus your trading.
 
Quote from riskarb:

I advised the 1280P synthetic when we were 12-15 handles lower. :mad:

If you remember, when we spoke it was Sunday night pre-open. They opened at 45.75. But YES you said I should leg in on the break and I got greedy......
 
Note to self: When Pabst makes another one of his quarterly apocalyptic calls....buy with both hands.

:D


Quote from Pabst:

My saying I'm leaving ET if this call doesn't work out was less a "Waterloo" over the market than a statement about the stupidity of some members here. I get frustrated. Perhaps I should just ask Baron to ban me from the Politics and Religion thread...... 90% of ET'ers are good fella's but the anti-American's should be shot. :)
 
90% of ET'ers are good fella's but the anti-American's should be shot. :) [/B]

That's such an American statement. It reeks of America.


"America, Fuck Yeah!"

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Quote from romik:

I am totally confused after Pabst's last post now.

Romik - Simple....he is still swinging but he has not yet landed any punches.

He hates some of the scum in the P & R threads....I agree! :D
 
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