As long as you have an approach to close out or partially hedge the positions when it makes a larger than normal move, you can manage this strategy for consistent profits. As usual it comes down to risk management.
Quote from Synaptic:
labib52,
Interesting .... I did a similar type of theoretical analysis a few months back on the OEX and found that opening spreads at least 30 points away from the money on day one of the option cycle provided a very good success ratio. Granted, you aren't typically opening spreads on Day One of each cycle and you're looking at very small premiums, but it provided another small piece of info to stash away in my "Trading Black Book". Slow and steady CAN win the race I suppose.![]()