My first instinct is to hedge first. Usually I am far OTM and when the market starts to move close to my warning gate (10/15 points from short strike) I look to add hedges where i can.
After that I then focus on what support or resistance levels I have between the index and my short strike. So my next mental trigger is based on the support or resistance level or if it gets kind of close to it. Right now 1180 is my trigger point for adjusting.
When first selecting the short strikes I like to go as far OTM outside support or resistance so adjustments are rare. In this case I used 1180 as a final support point and used the 1175/1165 strikes. Right now I have been seeing support come in twice when the market moved to 1180 so I have held off on adjusting, getting an additional day or two of time decay.
Right now the market closed weaker after a strong opening so my concerns are growing and if we move close to 1180 i may be forced to adjust down another 5 points or so for more cushion for the remaining 6 days or so of trading. My partial hedges will provide some profit if the market moves lower to hopefully cushion the cost of adjusting and prevent a loss.
I think your 1,2 and 3 are pretty close but I would summarize differently. First I use approaching to my warning point or breakdown of other support or resistance levels to kick in adding partial hedges. Once the hedges are in place I have a slightly higher comfort level. Then after that, I like to see if support or resistance will hold. Time to expiration is important. With a lot of time left I am more inclined to adjust. With a week left, like now, I am more willing to hold out and monitor the support or resistance.
I also make moves on the opposite side to help reduce my risk. For example in the XEO and SPX I added call spreads to bring in more premium to add more potential profit or finance potential adjustments.
Risk management is always a work in progress where general rules guide you but you have to stay on top of it and make decisions based on market conditions and time to expiration.
Phil
Quote from modegolf:
Hi Coach,
Thanks for your selfless postings!
Will you please share your philosophy on hedging vs adjusting credit spreads when the underlying moves against you?
From your comments, it looks like you:
1. Identify a "mental trigger" for the underlying,
2. Hedge sometimes when the underlying hits the trigger, and
3. Adjust if the underlying breaks down through your trigger toward your short.
I just got KILLED in this down trend and need help improving my risk management approach.
Thanks,
modegolf