Well I do not want to give away all my secrets...but hey we are all here to learn.
For this July position, I would not raise any yellow caution flags until SPX moved below 1140, which is a spport level of sorts. Even a 30 point drop in one week would only take the index to 1168 or so and with just a few weeks to expiration, I would still be over 40 points OTM. So if 1140 is broken my eyebrows would raise.
Of course one of my recent positions opened has higher strike puts around 1140 so 1160 would also raise my eyebrows with respect to that position.
SPY options are 1/10 of the SPX and therefore are cheaper for OTM strikes. If the market seemed to lose its foooting and had some drops to the 1160s, assuming I had the 1125 short strike, I would look into some bear put spreads using 114/113 or 115/114 strikes. Ths would cost very little given time decay and if the market continued to move lower and I had to decide to roll out or close, I can make some money on my SPY spreads to reduce the hit on my SPX spreads. If the premiums are cheap enough I may just go long a ton of SPY puts. Basically I am looking for some income on the move to reduce any loss or negate any loss in rolling out of my SPX positions if need be. The best scenario is the index settles below my long SPY strikes and above my SPX strikes for increased porift potential.
Remember this is a partial hedge not a perfect hedge. If I can make $800 on the SPY position and lose $1,500 on the SPX put spreads on a rare occasion the market makes such a large swing, I have a small net loss which can be recovered easily in the next month of trading. THis is my personal system approach and I have been happy with it. I have had a few long SPY puts expire worthless since after adding my hede the market cooled, but I still walked away with a net credit and the SPY hedge let me sleep better.
I have specific personal rules and plans for when to do this and I think you can study the SPY strkes and premiums and see what works best for you.
Phil
Quote from esu2:
Coach,
On the July
1110 / 1125 put spread:
What would be the price that
SPX would have to drop to before
you initiated your hedges / or stop losses ?
You mentioned earlier in this thread about
using SPY bull call spread as some sort of
hedge against a big drop.
Do you mind elaborating more on this?
Again, thanks for the great thread!
-esu2