Quote from Sailing:
July/Auguest Diagonal Update by request:
Current SPX Put Diagonal Positions as of Tuesday, July 18
S July 1195p - $7.50 Currently $1.30
B Aug 1175p - $9.70 Currently $6.70
July 1195p should expire worthless... profit about 22.5%, depending on the final Aug 1175p value
S July 1225p - $11.80 Currently $4.70
B Aug 1200p - $13.20 Currently $10.20
If July 1225 expire worthless... profit about 47.2%, again dependingon the August 1200p value. Profit could be more if market moves closer to 1225.
Trading Notes:
Positions were entered when VIX was around 13. The increased VEGA really helps support the next month out positions and allows for further downside protection or B.E. B.E. has increased about 10 points.
Unlike credit spreads, the movement toward your short is desired... which in turn increases volatility. SET is obviously an issue, but there is a ton of premium still left in the shorts and really no need to exit early. We may evaluate SET near the close on Thursday and make a decision.
At no time during the month does the position really fluctuate much, get you nervous, or need an adjustment. It's this last week when things really heat up.... profit wise.
What I like about diagonals vs. credit spreads is the value of your long (next month out) can increase in value as the short expires. As the market moves toward the position, the long increases in value, both DELTA wise and VEGA wise.... unlike the credit spread, where you're hoping for both to expire. Also, you have multiple adjustment possibilities.... one of which is to short the back month DEC options and convert to an Aug/DEC short Calendar... compliments of MO.
On the call side, we had a 1305c/1325c which will generate a small 2% profit.
Again... ideally this is a great VEGA play... not a true form THETA play as many people misunderstand the position. The call side was placed to help profit if the market went up.. even though the puts would have made a small profit.
Hope this was helpful. We'll update you upon close with exact numbers.
Murray
The Grand Rapids Investment Club