Well all, today was a true BUKKAKE in teh ass of the market. Personally I think it was an exaggerated move but we had been riding high for some time and a kick in the ass is not a bad thing. I think once we started falling momentum took over and the big boys just kept pushing it lower waiting for the sheep to finally give in and short/sell and then rode it down even further.
Inflation is coming in warm but not economy shattering. Just means the stupid Bernanke/Bartiromo "pause" fiasco was bought in by too many people and they got their come uppance today. If we have one good piece of economic news, the market will be up 150 points
Those of you on the short put side, I am hoping that tomorrow it is relatively flat and we stay pegged around 1270. Then the fear is if we have news on Friday morning which pushes the futures lower and a lower SET. If you are at least 15 points away by Thu close, I think you should not fear a SET, with the CAVEAT THAT ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE....
Tomorrow is your last day for May to either adjust, get out or let it ride. Use your common sense even in the face of a loss. Better to take a knife to the leg then a bullet to the face.
My advice is to let the market settle and do what it wants to do before rushing to jump in on positions.
We have fallen 52 points or so in the last 5 days so put today's move in perspective. It probably was not the start of a crash but a part of the move since the Fed meeting. Lots of bulls for the long-term still exist and today's exaggerated move comes a lot from daytraders and big boys. Let's see the follow through after the past 5 days.
Right now 1265 and 1260 short put strikes are in the danger zone unless the market is up and closes more than 5 points higher. 1255 and below come into play if we have a large down day.