SPX Credit Spread Trader

Jim:

You could certainly put a limit order to get out of the VIX calls at a certain price which supposedly hedges your entire spread position if the VIX calls move as I hope/assume they would. If you are watching your positions you could also let the calls run and if they are worth close to intrinsic value you could actually make more on the hedge then the credit spread position (assuming calls go to $15 instead of $10.) so you might want to let them run a bit if you could monitor the positions.

If you are afriad you might be away when the fecality hits the fan then you could certainly can do a limit order or a contingency order to get out if the VIX touches a value or something like that.

Quote from JimPos:

Coach:
I know you have purchased VIX May calls for hedging against a black swan type event. To take this one step further, what do you think of placing a contingent order to sell the calls if the VIX reaches a predetermined amount. This is all hypothetical but for example:

Say you have sold the 15 May 1215/1225 put bull spread where margin at risk is $15000 and also purchaced 15 VIX May 20 calls.

Also assume you placed a contingent order to sell the VIX May calls at 10.00 if the VIX reached 30 or greater. OX lets you place this type of trade.

If there was a black swan type of event and assuming the above contingent order was filled if the VIX shot up to 30 or more, the full amount of your margin at risk would be protected. Thiis assumes the calls will be worth 10 if the VIX is at 30 or more. I know we don't really know what will happen to the calls and there are a lot of ifs, but what do you think? Thanks for you response.
 
Coach:
That's what I was thinking since sometimes I can't monitor my positions all day and I was thinking that time would be of the essence in case of a VIX spike. In case I was watching when the shitake hit the fan, then I could always decide to cancel the contingent order if I thought the calls could run higher than my limit order. Thanks for the input.
 
Quote from DonnaV:

we're doing REALLY cheap gamma here:p its not necessarily better its just that with his short put strike at 1225 the probability of that expiring ITM is 6% (as of today) which I would be quite comfortable with so why not widen the strike to get more $$. More margin at risk but very high probability of success.

I have no problem with getting more credit for something that seems like a low probability. The only issue that i have with it is that once you apply this same approach consistently over the long term(2-5 years), i highly doubt you will have better results. It's based on personal experience, i've done similar things in the past where by putting more focus on the credit received takes attention away from the risk i.e. undermines it. If you follow this same strategy over let's say a few periods of losses(in this cases pretty big losses if not hedged properly) in between the winners, you will see what i am talking about if you measure the results against one another.
 
In all honesty I'm not sure this strategy would work over a long period of time...certainly not in 2000-2004...the swings would have whipsawed you all over the place. By the same token...while it works make as much as you can:p
 
Quote from rallymode:

I have no problem with getting more credit for something that seems like a low probability. The only issue that i have with it is that once you apply this same approach consistently over the long term(2-5 years), i highly doubt you will have better results. It's based on personal experience, i've done similar things in the past where by putting more focus on the credit received takes attention away from the risk i.e. undermines it. If you follow this same strategy over let's say a few periods of losses(in this cases pretty big losses if not hedged properly) in between the winners, you will see what i am talking about if you measure the results against one another.

I think this really depends on what your strategy is for adjustment. It seems that for the most part the traders on this journal prefer to roll the entire position when the underlying approaches the short strike. If this is the intended strategy then I would have to say that 5-10 point spreads are preferable. Under these circumstances I generally wouldn't open anything wider than a 10-point spread as it only decreases the profitability of the position without really increasing the odds for success.

If on the other hand you intend to let theta do its thing and just bump the short leg back (without adjusting the long leg) if the underlying is too close just before expiry, then the wider spread will accomodate such a strategy, so a 15-20 point spread is preferable. JMHO.:)
 
Quote from DonnaV:

In all honesty I'm not sure this strategy would work over a long period of time...certainly not in 2000-2004...the swings would have whipsawed you all over the place. By the same token...while it works make as much as you can:p

The moment you find out it no longer works will be the time your port could give back years worth of gains though.


Quote from optioncoach:

A lot of people say the risk of the market moving lower is greater than moving higher. Honestly I can find nice market surges that would be just as scary to a call position as a Black Swan would be to a put position. But naturally people do fear the big spike down and how panic becomes terror.

Coach, although i agree that the upside could be as scary as the downside in aggregate terms but im sure you will agree that the pace to downside breakdowns is much swifter than any upside breakouts.
 
Quote from rallymode:


Coach, although i agree that the upside could be as scary as the downside in aggregate terms but im sure you will agree that the pace to downside breakdowns is much swifter than any upside breakouts.

I think this is what is hoped for to make the VIX hedge successful.:) When it comes down to it, any fairly quick but steady, sustained move in either direction; the ones that are hurt the least are those of us who place our spreads closer to the underlying. Is that one of the reasons you like to trade the closer strikes?
 
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