Rally:
How can you be so sure that there will be a "better price" soon enough to provide reasonable premium for April on the FOTM spreads that we trade?
I follow a group of day traders, and I can tell you these guys are more often than not puzzled by how the market moves. They use sophisticated TA tools and most have over 25 years of experience. They say the biggest single thing that appears to be moving the markets, and not always in the direction TA would indicate, is program trading. I posted a chart recently which demonstrated the massive increase in program trading as a percentage of volume traded over the last few years.
How can you be so sure that there will be a "better price" soon enough to provide reasonable premium for April on the FOTM spreads that we trade?
I follow a group of day traders, and I can tell you these guys are more often than not puzzled by how the market moves. They use sophisticated TA tools and most have over 25 years of experience. They say the biggest single thing that appears to be moving the markets, and not always in the direction TA would indicate, is program trading. I posted a chart recently which demonstrated the massive increase in program trading as a percentage of volume traded over the last few years.
Quote from rallymode:
optioncoach -> i am curious as to why you open positions on a day like today. For example, you just opened that put spread when we are nowhere near the lower end of the current trading range. Wouldn't it cut your risk significantly(or in your case the need to hedge) if u were to wait until a better current SPX price??

