SPX Credit Spread Trader

Well here is the wrap up for me for June. I know there has been a lot of discussion about the adjustments. So let me tell everyone my final tally givne the adjustments I made to my positions.

First, here is the net profit and loss on all my SPX spreads for JUNE including the adjustments I made when the market bottomed (lol):

14v3e4j.jpg


When adding the net loss of $3,062.50 from the SPY hedges, my NET PROFIT = $500.00.


So with adjustments I was still able to bank some cash this month with the market falling about 100 points. The reasons for this was my set up to the adjustments.

1. I grabbed the put profits when I canin the 1140/1160 and was exepcting to look for JULY positions. When I could not get out of the calls I decided to add more puts to grab more credit. Banking the puts gave me small cushion for the month.

2. Expecting some type of move lower and possible adjustment, I closed out my calls for a profit so that I could not be bound by the IC margin and simply have puts free to roll the short strike lower.

3. My adjsutment was to roll the 1195 to 1190 for some cushion and go from a 20-point spread to a 15- point spread which used less margin. I was then able to sell more 1175/1190 spreads to use the same margin and take in more credit.

4. I did not take any profits in my put hedges because I wanted there to help me if we broke to 1200. It is tempting to swing trade the hedges but they are their for small insurance and only work when they stay in place.

Now I am not saying I had all of this mapped out but when I was taking the calls off I did say in my post I wanted freedom to roll the short put strike down. So I followed the plan and sold more puts. With a few days to expiration, I would have rolled one more time to a 1175/1185 put spread depending on how fast we moved below 1220 and sold even more put spreads to use the same margin. Worst case scenario I would have taken a small loss and got out of the way. I would have allowed myself up to a 5% loss on the margin risked before cutting quickly.

SO I am quite happy with the $500 in net profits. Evne happier I adjusted. I could have waited another day and watched the market rebound and been safe with $13,000 in profits. But only ESP could have told me we would bounce after CPI news. We could have just as easily dropped another 15....
 
I'm interested in studying this strategy further. Not for selling naked puts but naked calls on the ES really FOTM. Unfortunately, I have zero experience with futures and ToS does not have options on futures. I know that IB does. Is there any website out there where I can see free quotes on ES options. IOW, I'm not ready to sign up with IB until I do some homework on this idea first. But I need to be able to see the ES options quotes.


Quote from jeffm:

Quick followup to my ES vs SPX post earlier...

The number that really stands out from that post is the margin requirement for a naked short put on ES vs the same strike on SPX. The ability to sell naked without taking a huge margin whack gives you some extra choices. For instance, you can easily leg into the short side of a spread if you so choose.

Or you could just sell that thing and be done with it :eek:

There are 2 big problems with selling naked. Monster margin requirements and unlimited downside risk. Both of these problems are "solved" by using a credit spread, but how solved are they really? The downside risk in particular.

Lets look at 2 example trades. I'll stick with ES puts, since ES eliminates the margin constraints. I'm also going to pick strikes without looking at any TA.

ES ~ 1232

Trade 1: JUL ES bull put spread
-1150/+1140 0.75bid 1.75ask Margin $900
Lets just go ahead and give it the midpoint and say this spread nets 1.25 credit, with a risk of 8.75.
Its a decent credit for a 10pt spread and the short strike 80 points OTM. Well, you would have thought this was a good trade 45 days ago. With VIX in the low 20's and a 100point decline behind us, maybe its not so hot. But ignore that for illustrative purposes.
With an 1150 short, you will start getting nervous at 1170; you will start adjusting and losing money at 1160.

Trade 2: JUL ES naked put
1025 put 2.25bid 2.50ask Margin $927
The 1025 put is the lowest strike on the ES board right now. Unlike the spread, the margin for this trade will increase as the market moves toward you. For instance, the margin for a naked put ATM is $2000.

"ZOMG!!! The black swan!"

If the market drops 100 points tomorrow, your spread is at max loss. Your "unlimited risk" short is still 100 points OTM. If you choose to close your 100 point OTM short, you can do so for for a loss not that different from the spread.

Which trade lets you sleep better at night? The FOTM spread, or the WTFOTM (way the fcuk otm) short?

I'm not advocating either trade. Just pointing out an option that is available on ES but not on SPX, due to SPAN margin.
 
Quote from rdemyan:

Is there any website out there where I can see free quotes on ES options. IOW, I'm not ready to sign up with IB until I do some homework on this idea first. But I need to be able to see the ES options quotes.

Underneath the chart where all the parameters are there is a button "get options". That will show you the quotes for all forward months that settle to the sep contract.

http://www.futuresource.com/charts/charts.jsp?s=ESU06


you can also get quotes from the CME here:

http://www.cme.com/trading/dta/del/product_list.html?ProductType=idx


I use the first one for historical futs/futs options data whenever i am too lazy to log onto IB. Both sites should have pretty much all the info you need to get started with ES options specifications and free delayed quotes.
 
Thanks Rally. I'll check out the links.

Since you trade options on futures, what's your take on this strategy? My thinking is that if I can go out 150 to 200 points and get a decent credit (and this may be a really big assumption), then this might be a very high probability strategy. On the call side only, though. The black swan could still take out such a position on the put side.

Quote from rallymode:

Underneath the chart where all the parameters are there is a button "get options". That will show you the quotes for all forward months that settle to the sep contract.

http://www.futuresource.com/charts/charts.jsp?s=ESU06


you can also get quotes from the CME here:

http://www.cme.com/trading/dta/del/product_list.html?ProductType=idx


I use the first one for historical futs/futs options data whenever i am too lazy to log onto IB. Both sites should have pretty much all the info you need to get started with ES options specifications and free delayed quotes.
 
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