I take no offense at your comments.
But let me just say the following things:
1) I've been trading spreads for 14 months, I believe you've been trading for 10+ years. Obviously I have a learning curve to go through and hopefully will establish a better system for entering spreads. I'm sure you went through a similar learning curve as most have.
I think I've made a good start for me (not for others) with my overall strategy as I mentioned in earlier posts. But timing of entries is something I do want to work on.
2) BUT, I'm not sure that timing the entry is as critical for FOTM as it is for your strategy. Of course, if you can sell a bear call at the top that's great. But if I could predict markets with that degree of accuracy, I wouldn't be trading spreads, now would I. There would be a lot better vehicles for me to make a ton of money if I had that ability.
3) In the end, if this particular spread expires worthless I'll be content. Still, having said that, that doesn't mean I don't want to improve my trading skills. Ascertaining how the market will move after news events is something I need more experience with. If you read enough newsletters, etc. you can find opinions that are divergent yet seem to provide credible support. I follow a group of experienced day traders and the market moves of the last year or so have often confused them. Can I expect to do much better?
Your entry method (within 5 to 10 points of the 3 month high) means you could easily be out of positions for a number of months during the year. I tend to be in positions during every month. If I get it close to right, I could easily make more profit than with an absolute, line-in-the-sand strategy that you would employ (only because you wouldn't be in each month). OTOH, I believe your entry method is safer and would subject the trader to less distress over the course of the year. But it's all hypothetical. We wouldn't know unless we actually tried it.
Comments, constructive criticism is appreciated. I don't consider myself an experienced trader or an expert in any way. I report my trades as part of the thread and don't mind feedback. From my point of view it's ultimately about making more money for me and if suggestions and constructive criticism can help then that's great.
EDIT: Oh yeah, I do occassionally regret encouraging you to join the thread and post your trades and methods.

Just kidding.
Quote from rallymode:
I was going to let it go but now i feel i must give you a piece of my mind
rdemyan, please dont take this the wrong way. If what i am saying comes out as an attack, i am sorry, these are not my intentions. Now that this is out of the way let me get to my response.