Quote from optioncoach:
I have been concerned about the upside from a technical point of view because we have been in an uptrend and broke out of old resistance to new 5-year highs. These are all bullish signs for right now and with good earnings pouring in, the market will most likely now stay in this range above 1300. The big IF is if we get negative news that is floating out there and it is taken bad.
Quote from rdemyan:
Rally:
Unless I've been reading your posts incorrectly, I don't think you've been getting it right on your TA posts, except the last one (where you made no comments).
Quote from piccon:
My fellow SPX traders, Here is my update for the month and year to date. I assume OEX will not reach 600 in the next 5 hours.
Monthly:
15 OEX 600/605@1.135 =>1875
25 OEX 605/610@0.60 =>1500
25 OEX 575/570@0.50 =>1250
15 OEX 595/605@0.50 =>750
15 RUT 780/790@1.00 =>1500
15 RUT 720/710@0.65 =>975
13 SPX 1340/1350@0.90=>1170
This week ate a bunch of my credits
1) Close RUT 780/790/720/710 for a gain of $410.00
2)Close OEX 595/605 for a loss of $900
Total April gain=$4480
April return on margin (ROM): 7.12%
Year to date return on investment (ROI):18.5%
Lessons:
1) This month was pretty long and stressful. I think I am going to start trading only 20 trading days remaining.
2) Hedging is very useful . I hedged RUT and OEX and I closed these two with only 500 loss because I hedged them.
3) Entry is key.
4) Technical Analysis allows you to get the best premium as it determines your entry point. (Sell High, Buy Low) is key for our strategy.
5)18.5% return YTD: I never expected this in my life time.
Thanks to coach and everyone on this board.
) might comment thus:
Quote from rallymode:
This is precisely why i am bearish, the way i see it with so much optimism priced into the market any good news will not take us as high as any bad news will take us down.
The reason i keep posting those TA charts is to give you guys(FOTM spread sellers) a perspective of where we might go based on past price action. Now will i be correct? Who knows but using the upper resistance band to open bear call spreads and the lower support band to open bull put spreads certainly gives you a small edge sort of speak. Call it an addtional layer of protection.
April Results:
1245/1250 bull put spreads = worthless
1330/1335 bear call spreads = worthless
Credit = $3.1
congrats to all on another good month.