funny that you took a thread not about options and tried to make it about options.
Lol you're right. For OP, I did a spread trade in intc and amd, long intc. I can see you getting crushed but that's where stop losses come in
funny that you took a thread not about options and tried to make it about options.
after re reading my post i realized you also pulled 1 line from it and twisted it. if you comprehend my example it was talking about getting legged in oil and not options so once again you were just playing around. i have a lot of good stuff i could add to this forum but if my first post is challenged this easily then i see nothing that elite about it. ill cut my loss here quickly. Noob try adding something positive to the post and start a journal if you want to express your successesHow does a spread crush your account if you are sizing correctly? I made 40% on a put spread last week but if it had gone to 0 it would only have been 2% of my account.
after re reading my post i realized you also pulled 1 line from it and twisted it. if you comprehend my example it was talking about getting legged in oil and not options so once again you were just playing around. i have a lot of good stuff i could add to this forum but if my first post is challenged this easily then i see nothing that elite about it. ill cut my loss here quickly. Noob try adding something positive to the post and start a journal if you want to express your successes
---pair trades in energy commodities. What are the biggest factors in analyzing a spread trade like this? Standard deviation and correlation are the two I would
Think are most important, correct ? Thanks.

Congrats.
not bad. but even if you find your golden ratio you are never fully hedged and the mkt changes daily and when you have outrights trending amd bringing in 23% and you stick to your tried and true methods and with dbl slippage dbl fees you will never beat the index. hence why hedge funds are having so much trouble lately. these are advanced strategies for computerized systems that are monitored by teams and reams of data. nothing in trading especially trading is ever as easy as it seems or everyone who bought a MA cross would be rich. no reason in these current conditions to start searching again. you dont even need 1 goodbtrade you just need to find 1 good move thats it. 1 good move and exploit that move until it stops working with gobs of volume. theen when you notice over time its not working you find 1 more good move and then you rinse and repeat. like a hidden predator you wait you wait you wait then you kill and you are done for the day. while waiting you can look for new moves or the same move in different markets. if you trade 5 mins a day thats enough to be rich very quickly if it works..1 good move. thats it.The OP want's to make money not theorize about the possibility of the world ending.
"Research Nassim Taleb".
OP,
I am currently working on something similar. Check out the thread I posted "A simple approach to finding the hedge ratio". There is some good info there. I would also recommend heading over to stackexchange and reading stuff from @RichardHardy, he looks at OIL and NatGas once or twice.
If you want to keep things very simple, you can use a rolling total least squares TLS regression model to find your hedge ratio. Do you program? I can send you some R code if you would like (@Kevin Schmit posted the TLS function in the thread I mentioned above).
In regards to correlation, be careful! You might get a spurious relationship. Take for example the correlation between SHOP and KO. The pairs goes through periods of high correlation but that does not mean a real relationship exists. You will be better off looking for cointegrated pairs. Hope that gets you started.
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would like to do more analysis on pair trades in energy commodities. What are the biggest factors in analyzing a spread trade like this? Standard deviation and correlation are the two I would
Think are most important, correct ? Thanks.
after re reading my post i realized you also pulled 1 line from it and twisted it. if you comprehend my example it was talking about getting legged in oil and not options so once again you were just playing around. i have a lot of good stuff i could add to this forum but if my first post is challenged this easily then i see nothing that elite about it. ill cut my loss here quickly. Noob try adding something positive to the post and start a journal if you want to express your successes
Spreads- typically the last segment of the market that consistently losing traders learn about before they finally quit trading. Brokers n exchanged love spreads its double feed double slippage and double commission. yay!!
when you discover spreads at first you are like omg. its the holy grail what took me so long to find out.
then you look at charts and u are like omg. they chart so clean wow and the margin is low.
omg everything on the surface looks great but whats really going on is you will be lulled into them and paying for expensive software and maybe even a mentor or coach or class for 1000s of dollars. the coach will say...this is how most pros trade..as if they know.
you end up doing all the same bad habits that u did in outright trading but it gets worse! because margins low u can do a lot of spreads and then when it doesnt go your way ur loss will be huge because your mind says oh yeah spreads always come here and go there. its the same but now u have a whole new avenue to study etc. and then you have other risks
legging risks exiting n entering. slippage is huge and lots of times the mkt just keep on acting not normal. google trader rambo. he lost millioms in a week on spreads. its just like an outright chart you must trade well. problem is mosrt dont. grain butterfly spreads bu t fees n commission eat up profits fast. imagine trying to buy 10 oil contracts n sell 10 in a fast mkt. u get 1 side filled now u are short or long a 10 lot unhedged. so this typically happens in fast mkt and it can literally crush your account.
spread trading can be like selling options u do well then one day its gone.
goodl stay away
overnight. you are a loser and always will be.
Trading futures unless professional with a huge edge is bad for your health unless hedging your stock portfolio.
i have traded for over 10 years
4000 sp 500 by the end of 2020 is not unreasonable.
i dont have any edge..lol
REDPs garbage trading shows what you learn from Trading In The Zone: that you can make money on garbage entries if you manage it well. REDP has garbage management and garbage entries.
detesterio is a fraud and has no clue....detesterio has no clue about trading....i have traded for over 10 years...i know what the fuck i am doing.....take care losers. you wouldn't know a good thing when it actual presents itself for free....94,000 losing and non traders on this site