A position that does not work in the manner in which the probabilites suggested can be an excellent indictor of where the market may be going... just a few minutes ago i played a pullup and went short in the expectaion of new lows... My entry was @ 78.50, market moved down to test prior lows but it soon became apparrent that buyers were coming in, market came within 1/2 pt of prior low and then formed a tight coiled spring on the 2's, add to this the 11:30 time zone, and a tick divergence and the probs are now stacked on long side... So instead of just covering my short for a 3.5 pt profit i bought double my position and went long off 75 and grabbed another 7 on upside as it came up to kiss the falling 50 on the 2's...
This type of trading is not for everybody, actualy its not for most, being that most become attached to their expectations...
PEACE and good trading,
Commisso