Spanish89- Opportunist Trades (2nd journal)

Cool, just found your journal. I'll pop in from time to time. I used to occasionally check out your other posts. Gotta run for now, need to go short some oil.
 
There is some seriously wierd fucked up shit going on in this market right now!! :eek: :mad:


S&P has just spiked 10points in a vertical line,
oil has jumped from 95.30s upto above $96....
 
Just added an extra sell to oil at 96.88,
average sell price is now 95.91, target is 95.23 (although i dont have any issue cashing in before then),
and going to try getting out of my S&P trade at around the 1223 level if it goes back there. :/


There is something very wierd going on in this market that just isn't normal,
im not into conspiracy theories however this seems extremely like central bank intervention in the markets,
as vertical spikes that big out of nowhere and based on nothing just are too illogical!


And so i want out asap
 
Quote from pauk:

you still in the oil short?
It's gone a bit loopy :confused:


Sadly yes.. :(


The market is moving ridiculously bullishly,
however its merely due to central governments intervening like the ECB buying italian bonds so extremely hard to force the yield and then indicies markets down.


Im just going to ride out this rough patch, as a 4-5% crash in every market on 1day based on fear and panic of italy,
just to have all that fear magically evaporate into thin air the next day,
just doesn't last for long.


My oil target is 95.52, and s&p target now 1,221
 
Quote from spanish89:

There is some seriously wierd fucked up shit going on in this market right now!! :eek: :mad:


S&P has just spiked 10points in a vertical line,
oil has jumped from 95.30s upto above $96....


why is that weird?!!

because you didn't expect it or it doesn't comply with your dogmatic approach to being right all the time!

It makes perfect sense to me.
 
Quote from spanish89:

Just added an extra sell to oil at 96.88,
average sell price is now 95.91,And so i want out asap

Averaging down price... now that's a sign of a great trader. What if it hits 100+ first before having a key reversal. what possible basis is there for averaging the short unless there is some articulable reason. What is that reason?? Are you doing it on fundamentals???! lol

why didn't you reverse and go long.
 
Quote from iceman1:

Averaging down price... now that's a sign of a great trader. What if it hits 100+ first before having a key reversal. what possible basis is there for averaging the short unless there is some articulable reason. What is that reason?? Are you doing it on fundamentals???! lol

why didn't you reverse and go long.

Geez, Iceman, give the guy a break! He has a trading plan!

Quote from spanish89:

Ask yourself ''Why do i want to be a fucking stupid mug by being a trend-chasing fool??''

However if the ONLY reason you want to trade and risk your own cash is to make profit consistently everyday, every week, every month,
then you need to ONLY ever enter a trade when its EXTREMELY unlikely that you will be able to lose money on that trade.

And the best and most effective way to do this that-

You ONLY ever enter a trade on oil is when it has moved minimum 8-9% in 1direction without more than a 1.5usd pullback during that move, and without any strong fundamental news causing that move.

You then wait until it forms a reversal formation pattern on the 1-2minute chart,
and then you short-sell if the 9% move had been upwards/buy if it had crashed 9%,
and you are then extremely likely to endup having profitale trades over 95% of the time,
and trades which have extremely little potential of moving much further against you from your entry.

The only thing missing is the risk management part :eek:
 
Quote from iceman1:

Averaging down price... now that's a sign of a great trader. What if it hits 100+ first before having a key reversal. what possible basis is there for averaging the short unless there is some articulable reason. What is that reason?? Are you doing it on fundamentals???! lol

why didn't you reverse and go long.

Crude trades in a range, it was $80-$90 since last couple of months. The current breakout has no fundamental backing and due to European Economic situation, a rally can never be sustained. Yes it will touch $99 and probably $100 too due to technical reasons but reversing and going long on $98, on the top? You got to be kidding me. If he has sufficient balance, there is no reason to panic though I agree, adding to a losing position that too near the opening trade price isnt a good idea
 
Quote from usman88:

Crude trades in a range, it was $80-$90 since last couple of months. The current breakout has no fundamental backing and due to European Economic situation, a rally can never be sustained. Yes it will touch $99 and probably $100 too due to technical reasons but reversing and going long on $98, on the top? You got to be kidding me. If he has sufficient balance, there is no reason to panic though I agree, adding to a losing position that too near the opening trade price isnt a good idea

Reversing and going long when the counter-trend pullback short trigger the other day found support, and successfully confirmed that support, at the shallowest pullback level (94.60 zone) makes perfect sense for a swing trader. That's a sign extreme strength and that's where the bulls added to their winners for the next push up, which has already run nearly 4 points from that support level.
 
Back
Top