SP500 Only

[SPX Blaster]

I have often enough observed that the forecasts of the cycle analysis exat arrive one week later. By the way, I was shocked just quite a lot that you could suppose that I want to offend you - by no means!!!!!!! I do not know you at all. I find your beginning very interesting and also entitled, because markets always run in waves...

I'm sorry I misunderstood you.

 

[bellister]

Its ok!! )))Excuse accepted ))))

 

[SPX Blaster]

Hi Blaster,
of course ES will fall again. But only after the Triple Witching Day, 2019/20/09. Nevertheless, this was no negative criticism of you, but only one tip that as long as contract-poc still lies at 2925, big boys aren`t interest in falling prices. I expect after the change of contract next friday, ES and the whole markets will go down.

Poc means point of control.It is simply the price at which the largest trading volume has been made over a period of time (buy/sales).

This point is a rare point in the market because it is an indicator that can be observed before and not exactly when the price change occurs. Most indicators say “here is the point where the price is about to change” but few can say so far in advance where the price will go. Therefore it is very useful data besides easy to calculate. It does not carry complicated mathematics like oscillators.

Actually, that's why I just come to post on my thread the very thing your paragraph above states.
According to my cycle analysis, the late July high's are a long term cycle high that came earlier than expected. While my cycles are not perfectly accurate and I am an imperfect person, my cycles would indicate that the early August lows will either be matched or surpassed by mid November. I could be wrong, but I don't trade that length term anyway.

 

[bellister]

The big money is lying at the poc of contract at 2926. Around this level the big boys have bought long positions. And now they want to sell higher. So the ES went up. If big boys have sold all their long contracts at e.i. 3000, 3020, 3030 -3050 (magic number) they will switch and buy short-options. Then the ES can fall.

 

[SPX Blaster]

Well I guess our posts are only talking about a matter of only one week difference, and then down.

Here's quote.

"I expect after the change of contract next friday, ES and the whole markets will go down".


Here's my short term cycle. I have possibility of some up move week of Sep 22, although the major trend will be down.

 

[bellister]

Actually, that's why I just come to post on my thread the very thing your paragraph above states.
According to my cycle analysis, the late July high's are a long term cycle high that came earlier than expected. While my cycles are not perfectly accurate and I am an imperfect person, my cycles would indicate that the early August lows will either be matched or surpassed by mid November. I could be wrong, but I don't trade that length term anyway.

I think you will be right. We will see lower lows this year or in January 2020. The institutionels like to loot the private traders` depots by moving the market down with few contracts to fish stopp-losses over holiday or Christmas. When the small investors come back from holiday their depots are empty and they have to buy back the share to a higher price from the institutionels. The same procedure as every year. We've naked pocs at 2503, 2584,50 and 2635,75. Naked poc means that at this level there was a lot of volume traded but the price hasn't touched this price twice before it went up. I don't know if it will happen, but last Christmas the ES fell 350 points of index.

 

[bellister]

Well I guess our posts are only talking about a matter of only one week difference, and then down.

Here's quote.

"I expect after the change of contract next friday, ES and the whole markets will go down".


Here's my short term cycle. I have possibility of some up move week of Sep 22, although the major trend will be down.

View attachment 209094

Anyway we are to an opinion! It`s just one week of difference ))

 

[SPX Blaster]

Hey everyone who visits this thread. I am taking all my posting to my Journal thread and not post here any more. On my Journal thread, I posted a my cycle analysis of a number of different markets including the SP500 cycles. So this is just to simplify and not have two threads going on at the same time.

 

[bellister]

Hi everyone! Here are my limit sells: 3022, 3019,50 3017,50, 3015, 3013. I don`t know of course how far the ES will still start. But I already think that it still packs 3017,50.

 

[bellister]

It is the new December-Contract. The poc is at 3000,00. My TPs are the skyblue lines with the numbers of center or the yellow small boxes: