yeah, Vindago, hedge yourself in every way possible: "depending on everything else happening that moment, and how traders are responding to it"...that way no matter what happens, you seem to be right.
SP500 - High Probability predictions for 2016
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Having someone else think I'm right is meaningless. Being right requires including tangibles unaccounted for. Mindnumbinglly simple internal events nested within each of the larger setups u described. If u ignore them and there not present 'this time' the larger setup fails. U take a loss instead of profiting on the failed setup. That's fine if ur stats say it averages in ur favor but even then ur missing out not thinking u can't do better by second guessing ur setups.
I'm a fan of Nodoji and grateful for everything she teaches. But I've found my best stuff, which has lead to even better stuff, comes simply by noticing 'this time' really is different. Quantifying it and thus modifying the rules to where it's not second guessing. Why can't u find tangibles nested within ur setups to distinguish, in advance, failures from success? Think about it. U described large bar intervals. Is there nothing inside those events that should rightly so, alter ur opinion in the present moment? Something u can formulate another rule for?
oh yeahhhhh, bry!
that's the true way traders hedge
Bry, I read DbPhoenix exit a trade once by saying he was expecting buyers to show up and they hadn't magically materialized the way he anticipated. I had to think about that a long time before I discovered what it means to me. I think of it as a gas pedal on a car. Other traders like IAN will suggest the speed at which a trade is moving can be measured and quantified as on time or behind. It doesn't have to b making progress every moment but when it's not moving at a critical moment there's valid reasons behind it.
Long NQ 4243.00 march (size divisible by 5), position trade, not a scalp.
Fair enough, V, u explained yourself well. Thanks.
Hi, dratsum,
Vidalgo expanded and he makes perfect sense to me now. When I first read his response it sounded like trading platitudes: "I might go long, I might do short, all depends." For a day trader that is so very true.
Yeah, I suppose there are valid reasons for every market condition. Thanks for your reflections.
By the way, everyone, I am thinking my entry might take place closer to the middle of the week because weekly red candles as big as last week's rarely turn around on Monday. All depends....
Bry
Vidalgo expanded and he makes perfect sense to me now. When I first read his response it sounded like trading platitudes: "I might go long, I might do short, all depends." For a day trader that is so very true.
Yeah, I suppose there are valid reasons for every market condition. Thanks for your reflections.
By the way, everyone, I am thinking my entry might take place closer to the middle of the week because weekly red candles as big as last week's rarely turn around on Monday. All depends....
Bry
Confirmed and confirmed.