South Winds, Red Skies & Clouds in the West

With the gap down at this week’s open, GBPUSD is now bearish. However, at 1.3107 there is no more room for the pair to continue south structurally speaking since it has already broken through statistical support. To enter a short position, there would first need to be a northbound pullback followed by a hook south, and in fact, price is so depressed at this point that it might make sense to look for a few pips profit by entering a long position (assuming that price has temporarily turned north).

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expiated said:
AUDJPY - enter a long position as soon as you receive confirmation to “pull the trigger.”
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Hoping to pick up a handful of pips from buying AUDJPY at 86.92

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This trade has delivered its payout. In that AUDJPY is currently neutral to bearish, a short position can be entered upon confirmation if and when price hooks to the south.
 
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I was stopped out of AUDUSD, but the pair is still bearish and I just got another, even stronger, sell signal, so I’m going to give it another try.

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expiated said:
...price is so depressed at this point that it might make sense to look for a few pips profit by entering a long position (assuming that price has temporarily turned north).
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This took a relatively long period of time! I'm hoping to get at least ten pips worth of profit out of this trade:

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I was burned twice by AUDUSD, so I'm going to need to see my ultimate confirmation signal before I short it again, at which point, I "shouldn't" get stopped out anymore. I'm also waiting for a go ahead signal to buy GBPJPY, given that all the major currencies tied to the yen just plunged following the release of the JPY Machine Tool Orders figure.

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USDJPY looked like it wanted to rise more than GBPJPY, so I bought that pair instead. But it stopped me out, so I will probably end up buying GBPJPY anyway. (GBPJPY continues to fall! AUDJPY rose nicely, but unfortunately, that wasn't the pair I opted to purchase.)

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AUDUSD is "supposed" to cooperate with me this time around.
 
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The fact that I was stopped out more than once today caused me to reassess how I interpret my charts and make the following two trades based on my adjusted viewpoint...

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expiated said:
The fact that I was stopped out more than once today caused me to reassess how I interpret my charts and make the following two trades based on my adjusted viewpoint...
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My adjusted viewpoint would seem to have some validity. It appears to have the power to eliminate the problem I was having with my average loss trades bettering my average profit trades...

ScreenHunter_6668 Nov. 13 10.25.jpg


Of the 13 total trades executed, the last three were based on my new insights, and they resulted in a profitable day overall, despite my extremely dismal 46% success rate, with all three trades exited successfully.

Assuming the modifications I’ve made will return my daily success rate back to 80%-90%, and that they will continue to generate profit-to-loss ratios significantly larger than any I was ever able to achieve in the past, it would probably be safe to conclude that they constitute a rather marked improvement to my system.
 
Based on recent modifications I made to my system, I’m hoping this EURGBP trade will add a few more pips to my daily total.

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