Hi everybody,
I just recently found the new thread and try to catch up a bit.
In general I'm working on refining my plan and doing the necessary backtesting.
One of the most vital aspects obviously is to stay out of the chop (aka a trading range too narrow to trade). In terms of trading ranges it would be great if DB could (maybe again, sorry) expand a bit on that issue.
How do these trading ranges "materialize" and where are they most likely to expect.
Taking yesterdays example together with the general doctrine, we have overlapping swings, without clear retracements within the moves, so the 50% is violated again and again. This means, we are in a TR, ok.
Where did it form? At the lower channel line, a point of decision - which leaded to indecision first. There was another TR forming after lunch, when price was hovering above the hinge top.
Are those the areas where TRs are too expect? And the areas where price congested before? Contrary to areas what you call an "air pocket"?
In terms of what you mentioned to the downmove after breaking out of the TR on the 22nd, testing the premarket high and then taking a "nosedive" I would like to ask: After the strong reaction (failure) at the top, was it "a safe bet" that price would come back in the area of the previous trading range, testing at least the midpoint. I mean, this is a bit academic in hindsight. I took the trade, but have to say that I did not take this into account.